7/25/2019 Serii de Timp Cu Tendinta Si Sezonalitate (Multiplicativ)

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An/Trim I II III IV t

1 900 1000 1150 1050 1 900

2 950 1050 1300 1200 2 1000

3 1000 1150 1500 1300 3 1150

4 1200 1500 1800 1500 4 1050

5 1520 1550 2000 1600 5 950

6 1050

1.032 0.998 7 1300

8 1200

An/Trim I II III IV 9 1000

1 - - 1.119 1.008 10 1150

2 0.893 0.956 1.157 1.049 11 1500

3 0.849 0.949 1.198 0.982 12 1300

4 0.857 1.028 1.177 0.948 13 1200

5 0.945 0.943 - - 14 1500

0.885 0.968 1.162 0.996 15 1800

0.883 0.966 1.16 0.994 16 1500

17 1520

18 1550

An/Trim I II III IV 19 2000

6 1595.245 1801.041 2231.949 1973.75101 20 1600

21 -

22 -

23 -

24 -

yt

a1= Msj=

sj

sj corct

7/25/2019 Serii de Timp Cu Tendinta Si Sezonalitate (Multiplicativ)

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-

-

1027.939

1041.241

1063.79

1098.4

1124.071

1144.24

1178.214

1211.54

1251.932

1324.045

1400.311

1458.447

1529.297

1581.629

1609.179

1643.72

1696.319

1750.601

1806.62

1864.432

1924.094

1985.665

y!t