problemele majore ale lumii

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Analele Universit ii Constantin Brncui din Trgu Jiu, Seria Litere i tiine Sociale, Nr.3/2011

Annals of the Constantin Brncui University of Trgu Jiu, Letters and Social Sciences Series, Issue 3/2011

7

SECOLUL AL XXI-LEA I

PROBLEMELE MAJORE ALE LUMII

Adrian GORUN1

1. Nevoia contextului global n

analiza factualazi

n anul 2008, la PRO Editur iTipografie, n traducerea lui MihaiConstantinescu a aprut la Bucureti carteadoctorului n economie Thierry P.

Millemann, Faa ascuns a lumiioccidentale.Coninuturile crii fac obiectulunor universuri secrete, autorul insistndasupra unei idei ce transpare n fiecarecapitol: Lumea nu este aa cum pare, i, cuct mai puin, cea occidental. Care suntmizele azi, cnd amalgamul de informaii ce

penetreazcanalele rapide de informaii facetot mai dificil detectarea esenialului idecelarea corect a problemelor ntr-oierarhie, la rndul ei, corect? Mizele sunt

corelate intereselor civilizaiilor dominante,ntririi strategiilor de hegemonie, uzitndu-se dubla msur a informaiei fragmentare:generarea refleciei pertinente, pe de o parte,generarea informaiei eronate, pe de alt

parte. Pentru unii, - remarc Th.P.Millemann informaia este o arm nserviciul puterii; n acest caz vorbim despredezinformare. Informaia devine o minciundivulgat prin acceptare sau omisiune, din

prudensau respect, devenind propagand.Abundena informaiilor care

acapareazlumea mediatic, pe de o parte, ianii care se scurg invariabil, pe de altparte,fac astzi ca nimeni s nu mai tie cuadevrat cine se afl la originea lucrurilor.Pn i cei mai experimentai se pierduneori2.

XXI CENTURY AND THE MAJOR

ISSUES OF THE WORLD

Adrian GORUN23

1. The Need of Global Context in

the Factual Analysis Today

In 2008 at Pro Publishing House andPrinting House, Bucharest, in MihaiConstantinescus translation, the book of thePh D in Economics, Thierry P. Millemann,

The Hidden Face of the Western World, waspublished. The content of the book consistsof some hidden universes, the authorinsisting on an idea which is outlined in eachchapter: World is not as it seems and somuch the less the Western world. What is atstake today, when the mixture of information

penetrating the channels make even moredifficult the discovery of essential and correctreveal of issues in an hierarchy which is inturn unfair? The stakes are correlated to the

interests of dominant civilizations,strengthening the hegemony strategies, byutilizing the double extent of fragmentaryinformation: on the one had generating of

pertinent reflection, on the other, generatingerroneous information. Th. P. Millemannremarks that For some information isweapon in the service of power; in this casewe are talking about misinformation.Information becomes lies revealed throughacceptance or omission, for prudence orrespect, it becomes propaganda. Theabundant information flooding the media onthe one hand, and the time invariably

passing, on the other, enable today thatnobody really knows who the origin of thingsis. Even the most competent ones sometimeslose their bearings24.

1Prof.univ.dr., Universitatea Constantin Brncui din Trgu-Jiu.2Thierry P. Milleman,Faa ascunsa lumii occidentale , Pro Edituri Tipografie, Bucureti, 2008, p. 10;23Prof.PhD, Constantin Brncui University of Trgu-Jiu.24Thierry P. Millemann, Fata ascunsa a lumii orientale, Pro editura si Tipografie, Bucuresti, 2008, p.10


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Societatea actual cea a ereiglobalizrii este acceptat ca o societate

bazat pe cunoatere. Evenimentele semultiplic, populaia din rile lumii a treia,

dar i din state dezvoltate din Asia creteexponenial, rezervele naturale scadvertiginos, bunstarea este o realitate pentrueantioane din ce n ce mai restrnse, n timpce srcia se extinde tot mai mult,analfabetismul s-a cronicizat .a.m.d.Enumerarea acestor probleme poate continuai niciuna dintre ele nu permite ntrezrireaunor soluii definitive. Se pare c plafonulmaxim pe care l-a atins internaionalizareaazi este unul care condamn definitiv la

napoiere o mare populaie a globului.Paradoxal, o societate bazat pe cunoatereexclude nu doar de la producerea decunotine, dar i de la accesul la produselecunoaterii indivizi, societi, state naionalenapoiate. Peste clivajele economice, sociale,

politice se suprapun clivajele informaional-cognitive traduse n termeni de potenialdominator i penurie subordonatoare. Ori,cum de la F. Bacon ncoace oricine tie ctiina semnific putere, deintorii

potenialului informaional-cognitiv folosescinformaia drept mijloc (manipulare,

persuasiune, dezinformare dirijat) pentru a-i ntri hegemonia, n timp ce cei rmai nafara acestui potenial din varii motive(srcie, analfabetism, subdezvoltare, acceslimitat sau dirijat) i perpetueazstatutul dedominai (informaia la care au acces estecenzurat, cu statut de propagand i rol dedezinformare).

Este lesne de neles, c declaratasocietate bazat pe cunoatere specific ereiglobalizrii este o societate care face dincompetiie att un regulator alaccesului/excluderii, ct i un mecanism deconservare a poziiilor aprioric inegale iaprioric inechitabile. nelegerea n sine a

problemei este dramatic i devastatoare.Cci ea clarific concomitent resorturi iefecte.

Omul modernitii trzii este supus

unei abundene a informaiilor fr

Nowadays society that ofglobalization era is accepted as knowledge

based society. Events multiply, thepopulation of Third World, but also in the

developed countries in Asia increasesexponentially, the natural resources arerapidly diminished, welfare is a reality forsmaller and smaller samples, while povertyextend more and more, illiteracy becomechronic etc. Enumerating issues of this kindmay continue and none of them outlinesdefinite problems. The maximum limit ofinternationalization today seems to be onethat definitely sentence to lagging behind agreat many part of the world population.

Paradoxically, knowledge based societyexcludes individuals, societies, backwardnational states from yielding of informationand from access to information. Economic,social, political cleavages overlapinformational-cognitive cleavages translatedin terms of potential dominating and

subordinating penury. Since anybody knowsfrom Francis Bacon that knowledge is power,the holders of the informational-cognitive

potential utilize information as a means (of

manipulation, persuasion, and controlledmisinformation) to strengthen theirhegemony, while the ones lagging behindthis potential from varied reasons (poverty,illiteracy, underdevelopment, limited accessor controlled) perpetuate their statute ofdomineered (the information which they mayaccess is controlled with the propagandastatute and misinformation role).

It is thus easy to understand that thestated knowledge based society specific tothe globalization era is a society that makescompetition a regulator of access/ exclusionand a preservation mechanism of the

positions a priori unequal and a priori unfair.Understanding the problem itself is dramaticand devastating, since it make clear resortsand effects concomitantly.

The man of late modernity is subjectto unprecedented abundant information.Whether Erasmus of Rotterdam could read

everything that was written in all the domains


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precedent. Dac Erasmus din Rotterdam aputut citi tot ceea ce s-a scris n toatedomeniile pnla el, azi este imposibil ca o

persoan, indiferent de instruire i erudiie,

spoatlectura tot ceea ce s-a scris numai ndomeniul su de referin. Acest aspect estebine cunoscut i foarte bine utilizat azi dectre guvernele interne, de ctre cei ceguverneaz lumea. Pentru ei, abundenainformaiilor i rapiditatea cu care se succedevenimentele reprezint arme secrete aledominaiei. Aceastsituaie grotesc scrieTh.P. Millemann permite conductorilor

planetei s inverseze cauzalitileevenimentelor i s ndeprteze astfel

responsabilitile lor din aciunea politic, nscopul satisfacerii propriilor nevoi.

Din acest motiv, auzim n numeroasernduri c o anumit aciune politic esterezultanta unei anumite situaii. Aciuneaguvernamental este astfel un rspuns laevenimentele petrecute.

De fapt, problema const, nprincipal, n separarea responsabilitilorrelaiilor dominante ntre actorii politici.Astfel, dac este adevrat c rile dominate

nu fac, adeseori, dect s rspundevenimentelor, rile dominante le conduc,chiar dac este vorba despre un rspuns

provocat printr-un act primar3. Asemeneaprocedee prin care cauzalitile suntinversate, cu scopul precis al derobrii derspundere sau, cel mult, al distribuiei egalea responsabilitilor reprezint manipulri

justificative spre a induce percepialegitimitii intervenioniste. n fond, nici pedeparte nu se pune problema unor scopuriizvorte din nevoia de binefacere pentrudominai, ci a unor interese convergente pecare marile puteri le au n meninereahegemoniei. Bunicii i prinii notri i-autrit viaa ateptnd venirea americanilorspre a-i salva de regimul totalitar exportat desovietici, fr s tie c nelegerile de laYalta vizau interese geostrategice i

up to his time, today it is absolutelyimpossible for a person, no matter hiseducation and erudition, to read everythingonly in his specialization. This aspect is well

known and well utilized by the internalgovernments, by those governing the world.For them the abundant information andaccelerated rhythm of the events representsecret weapons of domination. Thisgrotesque situation Th. P. Millemann writes

enables the leaders of the planet to reversecausalities of events and to remove theirliabilities from their political activity with theaim of complying with their own needs. Forthis reason we hear in numerous instances

that a certain political action is the result of acertain situation. The governmental action isthus an answer to the events occurred. In fact,the issue here is primarily, the separation ofliabilities for the dominant relations amongthe main political players. Thus if it is truethat the dominatedcountries do not do otherthen often respond the events, then thedominant countries lead them, even if it is a

provoked response through a primary act25.Such procedure through which causalities are

reversed with the precise aim to avoidresponsibility or at the most of equaldistribution of liabilities, represent justifiedmanipulations in order to induce the

perception of legitimate intervention. Inessence, it is far from scopes arisen fromneed of benefit for dominated, but forconvergent interests which the Great Powershave to maintain their hegemony. Ourgrandparents and parents have lived theirlives waiting for the Americans to come tosave them from the totalitarian regimeexported by Soviets not knowing that theYalta Treaty envisaged geostrategic interestsand by no means humanitarian programmes.

Not even the Cold War changed the essenceof the issue, since the English, French orGerman were not concerned withRomanians fate, but issues regarding areas

3Ibidem, pp 10-11;25Ibid, p.10-11


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nicidecum programe umanitare. Nici mcarRzboiul Rece n-a schimbat fondul

problemei, cci nu soarta romnilor preocupape americani, englezi, francezi, germani, ci

probleme legate de supremaii i zone deinfluen/dominaie.n acest amalgam de informaii,

constituit ntr-o mas haotic nu lipsetelogica instrumental a marilor puteri.Clarificrile introduse de Th.P. Millemannsunt de excepie: n aceste condiii, suntemnevoii s admitem c nu evenimentele suntcele care comand decizia politic iaciunea guvernamental a civilizaieidominante, ci acestea sunt cele care

condiioneaz i creeaz evenimentelemondiale.

Din acel moment, multitudinea deinformaii care formeaz o mas haotic seafl rnduit ntr-o logic bine definit,integrndu-se, unele dup altele, asemeneaunor piese de puzzle4. Prin urmare, nimicnu este ntmpltor, chiar dacintenionat secreeazo mashaoticde informaii. Logicaeste construitpe ideea de pretext, pretextul

justificnd aciunea guvernamental a

dominantului i, totodat, pretextul estecreatorul de evenimente n plan mondial.

Relaia pretext-aciuneguvernamentaleste una de concomiten, ntimp ce relaia aciune guvernamental-evenimente este una de succesiune, cu rolevident justificativ (Afganistanul, Irakul,Libia .a. sunt exemple edificatoare). Iaraciunile concertate orientate spreconstituirea unei mase haotice de informaii,mas rnduit ntr-o logic bine definitreprezint, n opinia lui Millemann, o axiomcu rol esenial n nelegerea lumii de azi:Aceast axiom este fundamental pentrunelegerea dezvoltrii lumii noastre modernei pentru interpretarea informaiei. icontinu: Cu excepia cataclismelormeteorologice, toate evenimentele care s-au

produs dup sfritul celui de-al doilea

of supremacy and influence/ domination.This mixture of information, does notlack the instrumental logics of theGreat

Powers, constituted as a chaotic mass. Thesolutions introduced by Th. P. Millemann areexceptional: Under these circumstances, wehave to admit that it is not the events thatcommand the political decision and thegovernmental action of the dominantcivilization, but it is they that condition andcreate the world events. That very moment,the multitude of information consisting of achaotic mass is arranged in well definedlogics each of them integrating one after

another like jigsaw puzzle pieces26

. It followsthat nothing happens at random even if it issomebodys intention to create a chaoticmass of information. Logics are built on theidea of pretext; the pretext justifies thegovernmental action of the dominant and allthe more, the pretext is that which creates theevents in the world.

The relation pretext-governmentalaction is one of concomitance whereas therelation governmental action-events is one of

succession, having a visible justifiable role(Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya and others areenlightening examples); and the harmonizedactions oriented to constitute a chaotic massof information, arranged in a well-definedlogic represents in Millemanns opinion anaxiom with an essential role in understandingthe world today: This axiom is fundamentalfor the insight of our modern worlddevelopment and for interpretation ofinformation. And then goes on: Except formeteorological cataclysms, all the eventshaving taken place after the World War II iswithin the limits of the Western strategy forhegemony and in the plans reserved tointentional eradication of overpopulating theThird World, in the interest of the humanspecies survival, but especially in the interestof political-economic balance of the Western

4Ibidem, p. 11;26Ibid. p.11


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Rzboi Mondial s-au nscris n limitelestrategiei occidentale de hegemonie i n

planurile rezervate eradicrii, n modintenionat, a suprapopulrii Lumii a Treia,

n interesul supravieuirii speciei umane, darmai ales n folosul echilibrului politico-economic al civilizaiei occidentale, necesarcreterii i mbogirii sale5.

Prin urmare, diferenele dintreaparene i esensunt majore, lumea nefiindnici pe departe aa cum pare. Mai mult:Suprafeele sunt foarte mari, dar, duprevenirea din starea de stupoare, ansamblulse integreaz perfect n raionamentulgeneral. Nici un eveniment major nu este

independent de altele, toate interfereaz ninteriorul procesului. Vectorii sunt i eistrns legai, precum CIA; DIA, NSA, dar iM16, M15, DST, DGSE i muli alii, ncteste imposibil analizarea unui fapt scos dincontextul global fr s se producinterpretri contrare semnificaiei reale6.Contextul global necesar analizelor factuale

permite detectarea i nelegereaconstrngerilor politicii strategiceoccidentale n lume, politic strategic

specific fiecrei regiuni a lumii, construit,cum afirm Millemann, ca rspuns la patruntrebri fundamentale precise, rspuns ceface inteligibilntreaga politic mondial arilor dezvoltate dirijat de occidentali. nPrefaa la Faa ascunsa lumii occidentale,autorul formuleazaceste ntrebri:

1. Cum s-i pstreze supremaia actual(rile occidentale) n faa unei lumi aflatentr-o evoluie constant, n scopulconservrii libertii, nivelului i modului lorde via?

2. Cum s-i asigure aceste rioccidentale controlul produciei i alaprovizionrii cu materii prime, ndeosebienergetice, vitale pentru dezvoltarea

propriilor economii?3. Cum s-i nsueasc beneficiile

civilization, necessary to its growth andenrich27.

Consequently the differences betweenthe appearances and essence are major, the

world is not at all as it seems. Moreover:Surfaces are very large, but after overcomingthe condition of stupor, the assemblyintegrates perfectly within the generalreasoning. No major event is independentfrom others; all of them interfere within the

process. Vectors as CIA, DIA, NSA, and alsoM16, M15, DST, DGSE and many others areclosely related too, so that analyzing a factout of the global context is merely impossiblewithout contrary interpretations from the real

situation28

. The global context necessary tothe factual analyses allows tracing andunderstanding the constraints of strategicWestern policy in the world, strategic policyspecific to each region of the world, built, asMillemann ascertains, as a response to the

four precise fundamental questions, aresponse which makes clear the overall world

policy of the developed countries controlledby the Westerners. In the Preface to TheHidden Face of the Western Worldthe author

frames these questions:1. How can they (Western countries)

keep the current supremacy in theface of a world in a constantevolution with the aim of preservingfreedom, their standard and lifestyle?

2. How can these western countries provide the control of production andprovisioning with raw materials,especially energetic, of a vitalimportance for developing their owneconomies?

3. How can they take possession of thebenefits from selling the rawmaterials, so that the costs should notinfluence growth and not to allow todifferent other producing countries afuture concurrent industrialization,

5Ibidem;6Ibidem;27Ibid28Ibid


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comercializrii materiilor prime, astfel nctcosturile lor snu influeneze creterea i snu permit diferitelor ri productoare oviitoare industrializare concurent, deci

periculoas?4. Cum s ncline n mod durabil curbaexponenial a creterii demografice dinLumea a Treia care le amenin, ntr-unviitor apropiat, echilibrul?7.

Vom rspunde, alturi de Th.P.Millemann la aceste ntrebri, prezentndanalize factuale asupra lumii n eraglobalizrii.

2.Se preconizeazun alt rzboi

mondial?n opinia lui Th.M. Millemann, da! El

se duce fie n forma sa real, un rzboisngeros greu de controlat, urmare aevoluiei anarhice a demografiei, fie subforme mascate, cu armele minii, n bazaunor planuri secrete. Primele dourzboaiemondiale consemneaz Millemann suntncfoarte prezente n memoria omenirii. Altreilea a fost cel al luptei mpotrivacomunismului, numit rzboi rece, dar ale

crui victime sunt i ele de ordinulmilioanelor.

Lupta mpotriva creteriiexponeniale a populaiilor subdezvoltate saun curs de dezvoltare i meninereacontrolului resurselor naturale planetare dectre rile occidentale reprezint cel de-al

patrulea rzboi mondial (s.n.). El a nceputdeja acum cincizeci de ani, n obscuritateaunui plan foarte bine pregtit i secret.Rzboiul economic i mondializarea suntultimele etape ale acestui rzboi, dar contrara ceea ce cred unii economiti i filosofi, elenu constituie n sine un fenomenindependent8.

Desigur c unele idei mbrac formemetaforice, ceea ce poate conduce la oscdere a gradului lor de plauzibilitate. nesen, ns, noiunea economic de

thus dangerous?4. How could they curb sustainably the

exponential curve of demographicgrowth of the Third World which

threatens their balance in near future?By presenting factual analyses on theworld in the globalization era, Th. P.Millemann and

we shall answer these questions.

2. Is Another World War Foreseen?

Th. P. Millemann answers yes. It willbe either in his real form a bloody war hardto keep under control as a consequence ofthe anarchic evolution of demography, or in

masked forms with the weapons of mindbased on secret plans. The first two WorldWars Millemann writes down are stillvery present in the mankinds memory. Thethird was the struggle against communism,called Cold War, but whose victims were ofmillions order.

The struggle against the exponentialincrease of underdeveloped or developing

populations and maintaining under controlthe natural resources of the planet by the

western countries represent the IV World war(s.n.). It already started 50 ago, in theobscurity of a well prepared and secret plan.The economic war and globalization are thelast stages of this war, but contrary to whatsome economists and philosophers think theydo not constitute an independent

phenomenon in itself29.Of course some ideas are wrapped in

metaphoric shapes, which may lead to aminimization of their degree of plausibility.Yet, in essence, the economic notion ofexpansion, ensuring the welfare in the

Europeans case is dimly perceived in

history. Thus, unlike the Mesopotamian andEgyptian states with theocratic leadershipensuring their hegemony through the

prosperity derived from capitalization,exploitation and trade of their own natural

7Ibidem p. 13;8Ibidem, pp. 16-17;29Ibid, pp. 16-17


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expansiune care asigur prosperitatea, laeuropeni se pierde n istorie. Astfel, spredeosebire de statele mesopotamiene iegiptene, conduse teocratic, care-i asigurau

hegemonia prin prosperitatea izvort dinvalorizarea, exploatarea i comercializareapropriilor resurse naturale, europenii i-auntemeiat civilizaia i i-au asiguratdezvoltarea economic exploatnd icomercializnd resursele rilor cucerite:Imediat ce o ar devenea dominant,imperiul i ntindea frontierele, nsuindu-iteritoriile vecine. Acesta a fost cazulgrecilor, apoi al romanilor i, n sfrit, al

barbarilor germanici. Noiunea economicde

expansiune care asigurprosperitatea dinuiei astzi9.

Secolul al XVI-lea reprezint pentrueuropeni secolul mondializrii aciunilor lor:imperiile coloniale se extind, bogiile localesunt nsuite din teritorii tot mai ndeprtate ,sclavia popoarelor cucerite seuniversalizeaz. Care este situaia n secolulal XXI-lea? Grecii i romanii rzboinici audisprut, urmaii lor devenind popoareobinuite. Au disprut i practicile clasice de

meninere a hegemoniei prin expansiuniteritoriale, campanii rzboinice clasice,anexiuni etc. Supremaiile exist, actoriidominani sunt alii, mijloacele s-au

perfecionat. Dar efectele sunt aceleai.Pentru a-i asigura dezvoltarea, rileoccidentale au nevoie de resursele fostelorlor colonii, a cror dobndire aindependenei nu s-a fcut frmotiv. Sigur,amploarea ideilor umaniste privind libertatea

popoarelor reprezint o cauz nobil, darrealitatea este, de fapt, cu totul alta10.

Dobndirea independenei de ctremulte popoare prin prbuirea imperiilorcoloniale n-a eliminat hegemoniile; formelede exercitare a lor de ctre occidentali fiindazi mai diverse i, n multe situaii, maidiscrete. Astfel, relaia biunivocfuncional

resources, Europeans set up their civilizationand ensured their economic development byexploiting and trading the conqueredcountries resources: As soon as a country

became a dominant country, the empireextended its borders, taking possession of theneighbouring territories. This was the case ofGreeks, then of Romans and finally of theGermanic barbarians. The economic notionof expansion ensuring prosperity is still to befound nowadays30.

The XVI century represents for theEuropeans the century of their actionsglobalization: the colonial empires expand;the local riches are taken possession of from

even farther away territories, slavery of theconquered populations became widespread.But what is the situation in the XXI century?The Greek and Roman warriors disappeared,their inheritors became common peoples.Also the classic practices to maintain thehegemony through territorial expansion,classic war campaigns, annexations etc.disappeared. Supremacies still exists, thedominant players have changed, and meanshave been subject to perfection. Yet the

effects are the same. In order to ensure theirdevelopment, the western countries need theresources of their former colonies, whosegaining of independence was not without areason. Of course, the amplitude of humanistideas regarding the freedom of populationsrepresents a noble cause, but reality is in facttotally different31.

Gaining independence by manypopulations from the clash of colonialempires has not eliminated hegemonies; theirexertion by the Westerners is more diversetoday and in many situations more discreet.Thus the mutual functional relation political

power-economic power is traced as a supportrelation in the complex relation politicalindependence-economic independence,substantiated through a multitude of

9Ibidem, p. 17;10Ibidem;30Ibid, p.1731Ibid


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putere politic - putere economic seregsete ca relaie-suport n complexitatearelaiei independen politic-independeneconomic, obiectivndu-se printr-o

multitudine de dependene. Aparent,independena politica statelor foste coloniia prins contur n planul realului, fostelecolonii avnd forme politice proprii deorganizare (legislative proprii, executive

proprii, administraie proprie, instituii detoate rangurile proprii etc.). n fapt,independena politic presupune gradediferite de relativitate, uneori fiind totalanulat de dependenele economice frechivoc. Mecanismul, dei voalat, este lesne

fcut inteligibil: dominaiile economiceexercitate fie de fostele metropole, fie de alte

puteri economice mondiale permittransformarea independenei politicefuncionale n una pur formal. La bazaacestui proces prin care, mult clamatademocratizare a relaiilor internaionalermne cantonat n declaraii, stauresorturile ascunse ale dezvoltrii, resorturioriginate n interesele statelor dezvoltate.Pentru occidentali, remarc Millemann,

problema esenial care trebuie rezolvateste s continue exercitarea hegemoniei,extrgnd la discreie din rezervele naturaleale pmntului, fr s asigure dezvoltarea

populaiei autohtone, i pstrnd controlulgeneral al situaiei11. n faa acestui tablou,statele Lumii a Treia par condamnate, oricealternativconducnd la acelai efect: fie cncearc s-i dobndeasc independenaeconomic dezvoltndu-i sectoare proprii,

prin utilizarea resurselor de care dispun sprea-i asigura ntrirea suveranitii, ceea ceconduce n scurt timp la intrarea n conflictcu protectorii i la prbuire (cazulIranului este edificator), fie c accept sinedie jocurile impuse de protectori captndu-le bunvoina cu preul perpeturiisubdezvoltrii (exemplu concludent,Iordania). Prin urmare, protectoratul este

dependencies. Apparently, the politicalindependence of the former states colonieshave been outlined in reality, the formercolonies having their own political forms of

organization (their own legislative, executive,administration, institutions of all ranks etc.).In fact, the political independence supposesdifferent degrees of relativity sometimes

being totally annulled by the unambiguouseconomic dependencies. The mechanismthough veiled is easy understandable: theeconomic dominations exerted either by theformer metropolis or of other economic

power allow the tr4ansformation offunctional political independence in a merely

formal one. Underlying this process, throughwhich the much claimed democratizationof international relations remains blocked instatements, are the hidden resorts ofdevelopment, resorts originated in theinterests of the developed countries. For theWestern world, Millemann remarks, theessential issue which has to be solved is tocontinue exerting the hegemony byexploiting the natural resources of the earthas they please without ensuring the

development of the native population andkeeping the general control upon thesituation32. In front of this picture, the statesof Third World seem sentenced, anyalternative leading to the same effect: eitherthey attempt at gaining their economicindependence by developing their ownindustrial sectors, by utilizing the resourcesthey dispose of in order to ensure theirsovereignty, leading in short time to conflictswith the protectors and to clash (Irans caseis clear), or they accept sine die the gamesimposed by the protectors arresting theirattention with the price of perpetuating theirunderdevelopment (clear example Jordan).As a consequence, protectorate is extremelyexpensive, the tribute paid in previous eras

by empires being, in essence, maintained.Yesterdays thesaurus becomes today the

11Ibidem;32Ibid


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extrem de costisitor, tributul pltit n epocianterioare ctre imperii fiind, n esen,meninut. Tezaurul de ieri, devine azirezervorul din care se nfruptcei puternici.

Preul brumei de independen politic esteunul pltit permanent i cu funcii strategicgndite: meninerea acestor state nsubdezvoltare i sub hegemonia stateloroccidentale. i aceasta, n condiiile n care

populaia din zonele srace ale lumii creten ritmuri alarmante.

Tabloul lumii actuale coninecertitudini, elemente ale previzibilului, dar iincertitudini. Certitudinea incontestabilesteaceea cexpansiunea economicoccidental

nu s-a schimbat n esena ei, formele fiindmodernizate. Dac n antichitateexpansiunea economic a civilizaieioccidentale se baza pe nsuirea iexploatarea bogiilor vecinilor prin cuceririteritoriale, azi civilizaiile occidentale (uneleaceleai, altele adugate) i exercitexpansiunea economic prin meninerea nsfera hegemoniei lor a economiilor statelorrmase n urm. Controlul puteriloroccidentale este unulpermanent i complet.

El se exercitprin forme i metode diverse,ns funcia sa este univoc - aceea demeninere obligatorie a rilor productoaredin Lumea a Treia n ritmuri sczute dedezvoltare, ritmuri care s nu permit ocretere a nevoilor de resurse spre a nu punen pericol rezervele estimate pentruconsumurile rilor dezvoltate. Astfel, Th.P.Millemann atrage atenia asupra faptului c,dacrile arabe ar avea acelai nivel social,tehnologic i industrial precum nivelul riloroccidentale, durata stocurilor s-ar njumti,durat insuficient pentru implementareaenergiilor de substituie. Prin urmare,dezastrul n viitor pentru rile productoarede azi este unul similar catastrofei. n

privina controlului exercitat i modalitilorsale multiple, este suficient o prezentaresumar a unor fapte reale azi: Fie c estevorba despre destituirea ahului Iranului,rzboiul Irak-Iran, apoi cel din Kuweit sau

cel din Irak, rsturnarea diferitelor regimuri,

deposit from which the powerful indulge in.The price of the little political independenceis one paid on permanent bases and withfunctions strategically thought of;

maintaining these states underdeveloped andunder the hegemony of the Western states;and this under the circumstances, that the

population in the poor areas of the worldincrease in alarming number.

The picture of the present worldincludes certainties as predictable elements

but also uncertainties. There is no doubt thatthe Western economic expansion has notchanged in its essence, only the forms aremodernized. Whether in ancient times the

economic expansion of the Western worldwas based on taking possession of andexploiting the neighbours riches byterritorial conquer, today the Westerncivilizations (some of them the same, othernewly added) exert their economic expansion

by maintaining within their hegemony theeconomies of the states lagging behind.

The control exerted by the Westernpowers is permanent and complete. It exertsthrough diverse forms and methods, still its

function operates one way that ofcompulsory maintaining the producingcountries in the Third World within lowrhythms of development, rhythms that do notallow them growth of the need for resourcesand thus they should not endanger theestimated deposits intended for the developedcountries exclusive use (consumption).Hence Th. P. Millemann draws attentionupon Arabian countries which in case theywould have the same social, technologicaland industrial level as the Western countries,the deposits minimized to a half of theirquantity at present and so was the periodwhich would prove insufficient to implementthe alternative energies. It follows that thefuture disaster for the producing countriestoday is similar to catastrophe. As for thecontrol exerted and its multiple modalities asummary of the real facts would be enough:Either the dismissal of the Shah of Iran is at

stake, then that of Kuwait or that of Iraq, the


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destabilizrile politice, religioase saumilitare, meninerea regimurilor opresive,islamizarea radical, pn la alegereaarmelor folosite n conflictele lor, interne sau

internaionale, totul a fost, mai mult sau maipuin, sub controlul marilor puteri indeosebi al Statelor Unite ale Americii12.De altfel, caracterul atotcuprinztor alcontrolului face ca nimic s nu se producfr acceptul (mcar tacit) al marilor puteri(excepie momentul declanrii conflictuluiIsrael Palestina unde specificul este altul);chiar i preul petrolului este controlat.Autodeterminarea i suveranitatea acestor

popoare sunt pure plsmuiri, dar invocarea

lor justificativ face parte din arsenalulhegemonic.

n satisfacerea intereselor proprii,marile puteri utilizeazpolitica pretextului.Logica unui asemenea mijloc este una duali caracterizeaz aciuni la orice nivel:individ, comunitate, stat (pe plan intern, nrelaiile cu cetenii, pe plan extern, n relaiecu actorii principali) etc. Politica pretextuluieste n expresie duplicitar, n atitudinieficace i se fundamenteaz n dezinformarei manipulare, avnd finaliti justificative.Finalitile justificative creeaz (mcar)aparena legitimitii i, n aceast baz,conduce la susinerea aciunilor sau mcar laadoptarea unei poziii neutre n rndurileactorilor. Elementul esenial n politica

pretextului este reprezentat de intereseleconvergente ale actorilor dintr-o situaie-

pretext, interese ce asigur resorturilepoziionrii ntr-un context indus (voluntarcreat de utilizatorul politicii-pretext). Dinacest punct de vedere, potenial, oricesituaie normal are capacitatea de a setransforma n situaie-pretext. Totul depindede capacitatea artizanului de a anticipareaciile i efectele, precum i de capacitateade a utiliza cu dibcie (viclenie) cele maiadecvate instrumente.

Politica pretext este unul din

overthrow of different regimes, political,religious and military destabilizing,maintaining the oppressive regime, radicalMuslim to choosing the weapons utilized by

them in internal or international conflicts,everything has been under the direct orindirect control of the Great Powers andespecially United States of America33. Infact, the encompassing character of controlhas the consequence of not allowing thesecountries to produce anything without the

prior approval (at least tacit) of Great Powers(except for the conflict of Israel-Palestinewhere the reasons were different); even the

price for the barrel of oil is under strict

control. Self-determination and sovereigntyof these populations are mere phantasms, butinvoking as justification is part of thehegemonic arsenal.

In order to satisfy their own interests,the Great powers utilize the politics of

pretext. The logics of a means like this isdouble and characterizes actions at any level:individual, community, state (internally withthe citizens and internationally in relation tothe main players) etc. The policy of pretext is

double with efficient attitudes and isgrounded in misinformation andmanipulation with justifying ends. The

justifying ends (at least) create theappearance of legitimacyand underlying thislead to upholding the actions or at leastadopting a neutral position among the

players. The essential element in the policyof pretext is represented by convergentinterests of actors in a pretext-situation,interests that ensure the resorts of placing inan induced context (willingly created by theuser of the pretext-policy). From this point ofview, potentially any normal situation has thecapacity of transforming into a pretext-situation. Everything depends on thecraftsmans capacity to anticipate thereactions and effects, as well as his capacityto skilfully (cunningly) utilize the most

12Ibidem, pp. 66-67;33Ibid, pp. 66-67


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mijloacele prin care se exerciti se menineexercitarea controlului aproape cvasi-total almarilor puteri, ea fiind o constantn politicamondiala Statelor Unite ale Americii, care

ncearc mereu s-i legitimeze aciunile iinterveniile n faa unei ri n majoritateostil oricrei forme de rzboi, dar foartevirulent dac bunurile sau locuitorii ei seafln pericol sau sunt atacate13.

Precizam mai sus c inclusiv preulpetrolului se afl sub controlul marilorputeri. Explicaia nu este complicati ea sebazeaz pe evenimente petrecute relativrecent.

Cnd n 1973, a aprut primul oc

petrolier, apoi al doilea n 1979 - constatTh.P. Millemann , rile occidentale auconsiderat c rile productoare dein oarm redutabil care nu trebuia delocneglijat. n realitate, nu era nimic. La aceadat, Statele Unite ale Americii, carereprezenta nc primul consumator mondial,dar i primul productor mondial cu 470milioane de tone, n faa Rusiei, cu peste 350milioane tone, Arabia Saudit, Iranul iVenezuela cu aproximativ 190 milioane de

tone fiecare, i vedeau rezervele uorexploatabile diminuate ntr-un ritm alarmant.Stocurile erau constituite din petrol mai greui, mai ales, extracia putea s coste maiscump ntr-un viitor apropiat. Marile firmeriscau s ajung la limita rentabilitii i sdispar, nemaiputnd pstra mult timp un

pre relativ mic pentru barilul de petrol14.Situaia problemse crease, fiind stringentrezolvarea ei. Ori, cum creterea preului

petrolului nu putea fi realizat unilateral iexclusiv de ctre americani, se impunea oarmonizare a preurilor barilului la nivelulrilor productoare, OPEC hotrnd asupraacestui aspect, n scopul creterii profitului.Pretextul se creeazdin nevoia occidentalilorneproductori de a interveni. Intervenia lordirect nu putea fi considerat n vreun fel

adequate tools.The pretext-policyis one of the means

through which quasi-overall control of theGreat Powers is exerted and maintained, as a

constant of the global policy of the UnitedStates, that have always attempted tolegitimate his actions and interventions in theface of a country broadly speaking hostile toany form of war, still extremely violentwhether its riches and inhabitants are indanger or attacked34.

We have made clear above that eventhe price per barrel of oil is maintained underthe control of the Great Powers. Theexplanation is not at all complicated and

underlies events of relatively recentoccurrence.

When in 1973, the first oil shockoccurred, then in 1979 the second Th. P.Millemann writes down the Westerncountries noticed that the producing countriesowned a valuable weapon which cannot beneglected. In reality it did not mean anything.At that time , the United States of America,representing the first global consumer, butalso the first global producer with 470

million tonnes, before Russia with over 350million tonnes, Saudi Arabia, Iran andVenezuela with roughly 190 million tonneseach, saw their easy to exploit depositsdiminished in an alarming rhythm. Thedeposits consisted of heavier petrol and

particularly because extraction might havecost more expensive in a near future. Thegreat companies were at risk of profitabilityand disappear since they could not keep low

price per barrel of oil any longer35. Theissue situation had already been created,finding a solution being of immediateconcern. As the rise of the oil price could not

be achieved unilaterally and exclusively bythe Americans, a harmonization of the priceof barrel at the level of producing countrieswas of an utmost necessity; OPEC made a

13Ibidem, p. 67;14Ibidem;34Ibid, p.6735Ibid


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legitim, posibilitatea limitndu-se nexprimarea acordului europenilorneproductori n privina interveniei unui

productor de prim rang: Statele Unite ale

Americii: n aceste condiii, preul bariluluia crescut de la 2 dolari n 1970 la peste 12dolari n 1973, cu ocazia Rzboiului de YomKippur, cnd rile din OPEC - , creat n1960 i, la acea vreme, n majoritate arabau hotrtspreia controlul produciilor lor,dar i al preurilor, care vor ajunge la 34dolari barilul, n 1979.

Dar, de fapt, OPEC nu controlanimic, i, fr nici o ndoial, Rzboiul deYom Kippur a fost declanat pentru a servi

drept pretext15

. Am putea afirma c, att debine a fost situaia-pretext gestionatn acestcaz, nct, aparent, cu toii au ctigat de peurma evenimentelor. Spun, aparent, ntructctigurile post-pretext sunt, n cea maimare parte a lor, restabiliri ale situaiiloranterioare situaiei-pretext: Cu toii auctigat de pe urma acestor evenimente:Israelul, pace, Egiptul, pace i petrol, arabiiun dar providenial suplimentar, care le

permitea realizarea unor programe

importante de infrastructur, iar americanii ieuropenii trgnd sforile, avantajele

poziiilor lor dominante16, remarc Th.P.Millemann. Este ct se poate de clar cpaceameninut sau redobndit este neleas ntermenii clasici ce o definesc (n esen,absena conflictelor militare, a rzboiului

purtat prin utilizarea arsenalului militar) inu ntr-o form a manifestrilor ei nmodernitatea trzie. Pentru c azi, una dinformele rzboiului este cea a rzboiuluieconomic, aciune aparent panic, n careintervenia armat este nlocuit cuintervenia capitalurilor, frontul, ca teatru al

btliilor, este nlocuit cu btliile de pepiaa capitalurilor, iar dominaia militarviolent las locul dominaiei economice.Aparena pcii pe perioade extinse de timp

decision in this sense with the aim ofincreasing the profit. The pretext had beenarisen from the non-producing Westernersneed to take action. Their direct action could

in any way be considered legitimate; theironly possibility was for the Europeanproducing countries to express theiragreement for a first rank producer to takeaction: the United States of America. Underthese circumstances, the price per barrel ofoil raised from 2 dollars in 1970 to over 12dollars in 1973 on the occasion of YomKippur War, when the countries in OPEC(created in 1960 and at that time consisting ofArab countries) had made the decision to

take over the control on their productions andof prices too, thus reaching 34 dollars per

barrel of oil in 1979. In fact OPEC did notexert any control and undoubtedly the YomKippur War started with the only aim to bethe pretext36.We can state that the pretext situation had

been so well managed in this case that,apparently, everybody gained somethingafter the events. I use the word apparently

being that the post-pretext gains referred to

mostly re-establishing the hierarchy previousto the pretext-situation: Everybody hadgained from these events: Israel peace, Egypt

peace and oil, Arabs a supplementaryprovidential gift enabling to achieveimportant infrastructure programmes, whilethe Americans and Europeans pulling thestrings the advantages of their dominant

positions37, Th. P. Millemann remarks. It isobvious that the peace maintained andregained is understood in the classic termsdefining it (in essence, the lack of militaryconflicts, the war by utilizing the militaryarsenal) and not in a form of it manifestationsin the late modernity. For today one of itsforms is that of economic war, an actionwhich seems peaceful where the armyintervention is replaced by the capitals

15Ibidem, pp. 67-68;16Ibidem, p. 68;36Ibid, 67-6837Ibid, p. 68


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mascheaz continuitatea rzboiului cu altemijloace, voalate, de ctre stateleoccidentale. Precizam mai sus c Th.P.Millemann consider rzboiul economic i

mondializarea drept etape ultime ale celuide-al patrulea rzboi mondial, rzboimondial concretizat n lupta mpotrivacreterii exponeniale a populaiilorsubdezvoltate sau n curs de dezvoltare imeninerea controlului resurselor naturale

planetare de ctre rile occidentale. Tradusn termeni simpli, ecuaia este expresia uneirealiti factuale lesne de neles, realitatestructurat bidimensional n cretereacontinu a nevoilor, generat de explozia

demografic a statelor napoiate, pe de oparte, n diminuarea drastic i rapid aresurselor disponibile pe termen lung imediu pe de altparte. n asemenea condiiicare genereazimanent entropie, soluia esteunic: intervenia ca mijloc de control,intervenie care, cel puin pnla substituireaactualelor resurse cu resurse regenerabile

poate atenua procesul, poate extinde durata,dar nu contracareaztendinele entropice. Larndul ei, intervenia, se circumscrie unor

strategii centrate pe raionalizareaconsumurilor de resurse, dar fr a se punen pericol hegemoniile. Altfel spus, controlulexercitat de statele occidentale (i nu numai,

pentru c rolul jucat de Rusia i China nzonele lor de operativitate este un rolsimilar) are cel puin funcia de conservare a

poziiilor i ierarhiilor. Adic meninereaavantajelor pentru unii, a dezavantajelor

pentru alii.Tendinele actuale sunt ns

circumscrise ritmurilor impuse dezvoltrii,ceea ce conduce la o accelerare a adnciriiclivajelor ntruct orice avantaj adugat ndreptul marilor puteri se rsfrnge inevitabiln dezavantaje suplimentare pentru lumeasubdezvoltat. Ceea ce face ca tabloul lumiis fie tot mai sumbru, un tabloutridimensional: o dimensiune dat dediminuarea accelerat a resurselorexploatabile, o dimensiune datde creterea

exponeniala nevoilor, cretere generatde

intervention, the front as the war theatre isreplaced by the struggles on the capitalmarket, and the violent military dominationleaves room for economic domination. The

peace appearance on extended periods oftime, confines the ongoing war fought withother means, veiled this time, by the Westernstates. We specified above that Th. P.Millemann considers the economic war andglobalization as last stages of the IV WorldWar, a world war substantiated through thestruggle against exponential increase ofunderdeveloped or developing populationsand at the same time maintaining the controlupon the natural resources of the earth by the

Western states. Translated in simple termsthe equation is the expression of a factualreality easy to understand, a reality structuredinto two dimensions, the ongoing increase ofneeds generated by the demographicexplosion of the backward countries on theone hand and drastic and rapid diminution ofthe available resources on long and mediumterm, on the other hand. Under thesecircumstances generating immanentlyentropy, the solution is unique: interventionas a means of control, an intervention whichat least until substitution of the existingresources with alternative ones may ease the

process, may extend the period, yet it cannotfight back the entropic tendencies. In turn theintervention is circumscribed to strategiescentred upon rationalisation of resourcesconsumption, without endangering thehegemonies. In other words, the controlexerted by the Western states (and not only

because Russia and China play a similar rolein their areas of operations) has the role to

preserve the positions and hegemonies, thatis maintaining the advantages for some anddisadvantages for others.

Nonetheless, the present tendenciesare circumscribed to the rhythms imposed todevelopment thus leading to an acceleratingdeepening of cleavages being that anyadvantage added to the Great Powers hasinevitably repercussions on the

supplementary disadvantages for


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necesitatea impunerii unor ritmuri ridicate dedezvoltare, dar mai ales de exploziademografic i o dimensiune dat deadncirea ireversibil a clivajelor, susinut

de controlul statelor puternice asupraresurselor i manifest prin repoziionriizvorte n crearea de avantaje suplimentarecare, pe fondul mpuinrii rapide aresurselor are ca efect multiplicareadezavantajelor n Lumea a Treia.

n concluzie, pax universalia este oiluzie, inegalitile de potenial se adncesc,iar dominaia economic exercitat prinmondializarea controlului marilor puteri leasigurvictoria n rzboiul economic. Exist

oare soluii? Teoretice, cel puindeocamdat, da.

3. Problema factorului demografic iinsuficienei rezervelor energetice i amateriilor prime

Studiile asupra evoluiei populaieiglobului sunt alarmante, suprapopulareaLumii a Treia reprezentnd o adevrat

bomb cu efect ntrziat. Dac la nceputul

mileniului III populaia lumii numra 6miliarde de locuitori, n doar 11 ani a crescutcu un miliard i, n mai puin de cincizeci deani, n acelai ritm de cretere, va atinge 12miliarde de locuitori17. Observnd cevoluia demograficeste controlatde legeamatematic a creterii exponeniale,consecinele distrugerilor economice,culturale, sociale i umane ale mediului

provocate sunt ireversibile ,,Din acest motiv remarca Th. P. Milleman, dac neimaginm cpmntul poate suporta i hrnintreaga lume, va fi nevoie de mai puin decincizeci de ani ca omenirea s-i dublezenumrul nc o dat. Atunci, populaiamondialva fi de 24 de miliarde.

Apoi ea se va dubla din nou n maipuin de patruzeci de ani. i aa maideparte18. Se vorbete despre dezvoltarea

underdeveloped world. This makes thepicture of the world even more sombre, athree-dimensional picture: one given byaccelerated diminution of exploitable

resources, one given by the exponential raiseof needs, generated in fact by imposingunusual rhythms to development, but aboveall by the demographic explosion and onedimension given by the irreversibledeepening of cleavages, upheld by thecontrol of powerful states upon resources andmanifest through re-positioning derived fromcreating supplementary advantages, which onthe background of rapid diminution ofresources effects in multiplying the

disadvantages in the Third World.To sum up, pax universalia is an

illusion; unequal potential deepens, whereasthe economic domination exerted byglobalization of Great Powers control ensurestheir victory in the economic war. Are theresolutions? There are, at least theoretical.

3. The Issue of Demographic Factor

and Insufficient Energetic Resources and

Raw Materials

Studies upon the evolution of theworld population are alarming;overpopulation of Third World represent areal time bomb. Even from the beginning ofIII millennium the word population was 6

billion of inhabitants, in only 11 years itincreased with 1 billion and in less than 50years, provided the same rhythm, it will be12 billion of inhabitants38. Noticing that thedemographic evolution is controlled by themathematic law of exponential increase, theconsequences caused to the environment bythe economic, cultural, social and human areirreversible. Particularly for this reason, Th.P. Millemann remarked, if we imagine theearth can stand and feed the entire world, lessthat 50 years will do for the humankind todouble once more. By then the world

17Sursa: Naiunile Unite World Population Prospects 2002-2003;18 Th. P. Millemann, op. cit.p. 18;38Source: United Nations World Population Prospects 2002-2003


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durabil ca dezvoltare ce condiioneaz ilimiteaz accesul actual la resurse fr a

periclita accesul generaiilor viitoare, darnicio instanguvernamentalnu ndrznete

s abordeze problema de dincolo de anul2050. Exist un consens cvasi-general nprivina impunerii tcerii, chiar dac, dinpunct de vedere matematic cretereaexponenial12, 24, 48, 96, 192 de miliardede oameni va fi atins nainte ca secolul alXXII-lea sse fi sfrit.

Att de scurt s fi rmas timpul ncare este necesar un rspuns n privinaexistenei nsi a omenirii, nct chiartiinele i tehnologiile cele mai avansate i

dovedesc neputina.Problema demograficeste una care-i

afecteaz azi pe toi, ca problem global,dei evoluia factorului demografic nu esteaceeai pentru rile srace i riledezvoltate. ,,Cea mai mare parte a rilorsrace i-a vzut deja populaia mai multdect dublat n ultimii cincizeci de ani, eaurmnd s se dubleze din nou n urmtoriitreizeci de ani! [] Ar fi mult mai cinstit svorbim despre problemele catastrofale ale

populaiei din rile srace, prevzute pentruanii viitori. Ca urmare a acestei exploziidemografice, multe ri i-au vzut economiatrecnd de la starea de autosuficien lasrcie. Altele, mai bogate, temporar, odatcu exploatarea propriilor materii prime, seafl deja pe drumul spre srcie, din cauzacreterii demografice, pe de o parte, i anondezvoltrii economice i sociale, pe dealt parte, provocat, n cele mai multesituaii, de jefuirea rii prin exportul

bogiilor locale19. Nu se poate spune caceast situaie demografic alarmant n-afost previzibil, din moment ce unele state aureacionat deja: politica unui singur copil nChina, politica de sterilizare masivn India,

politicile non-intervenioniste aplicate deunele state n sntate i protecie socialetc.Efectele sunt, ns, n cea mai mare parte

population will be 24 billion people. Then itwill double again in less than 40 years. Andso on and so forth39.

Sustainable development is talked

about as the kind of development thatconditions and limits the present access toresources without endangering the nextgenerations access nevertheless nogovernmental authority do not dare toapproach the issues beyond 2050. We refer toa quasi-general consensus concerning silenceon this matter and from the standpoint ofexponential mathematic increase of 12, 24,48, 96 and 192 billion of people will bereached before the end of XXII. So little is

the time left necessary for an answer to thequestion of the being in the world ofhumankind itself, that the most advancedsciences and technologies prove useless.

The demographic issue as a globalone affects everybody today, though theevolution of the demographic factor is not thesame for the poor countries and thedeveloped countries. Most of the poorcountries saw their population more thandoubled in the last 50 years and in the

following 30 years it will double again! []So it would be fair for us to talk about thecatastrophic problematic of the population inthe poor countries, predicted for the years tocome. As a consequence of the demographicexplosion, many countries witnessed theireconomies to pass from self-sufficiency to

poverty. Other, temporarily richer, once theyexhausted their own raw materials are ontheir way to poverty, because of thedemographic increase on the one hand and ofstagnation in economic and socialdevelopment on the other, generated in mostof the cases by the countrys robbery throughthe export of local riches40. It is beyondsaying that this demographic situation wasnot predictable, since some states havealready found solutions: the policy of a singlechild in China, the policy of massive

19 Ibidem, p.20;39Th. P. Millemann, op. cit. p. 1840Ibid, p.20


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eecuri. S-a creat astfel un alt clivaj n lume,clivajul demografic, caracterizat prinsuprapopularea unor zone geopolitice n carevieuiesc popoarele srace i subpopularea

cronic a unor state occidentale. Aceastsuprapopulare face posibil eliberarea deteritorii n zone dezvoltate prin scdereadrastic a densitii populaiei de origine,deschiznd pori pentru emigrri masive.

Numai c statele bogate sunt supuse, nasemenea condiii, unui set de constrngerimajore: alterarea identitilor, ciocnireacivilizaiilor, reaciile de respingere venitedin partea propriilor popoare, ameninareaspectrului omajului pentru populaiile

identitare, urmare a concurenei masive aforei de munc ieftin provenit dinimigrani, reducerea ritmurilor dezvoltrii,chiar importul de srcie.

Desigur c se produc mobiliti depopulaie n lume, dar acestea sunt, n mareparte, inute sub control, exemplul Canadeifiind edificator. ntlneti azi chineziaproape peste tot n lume, dar n nici o arnumrul lor nu depete numrul populaieiindigene, se regsesc juctori de culoare n

echipele naionale de fotbal ale Angliei,Franei, Olandei i Germaniei (cine i-ar fiimaginat acum 20 de ani aa ceva pentruGermania!), dar asta nu semnific n vreunfel c structura etnic a populaiei acestorstate s-a modificat ncesenial. nc, dar nuimposibil ntr-un viitor prea ndeprtat.

Problema spaiului geografic oricum insuficient pentru a absorbi oculdemografic chiar i n situaia ipotetic areaezrii distribuiilor pe glob, situaie ce arconduce, de exemplu, la musulmanizareaFranei, la budismizarea S.U.A., laconfucianizarea Rusiei .a.m.d. nu estesingura problempe care o creeaz exploziademografic. Ea genereaz expansiuneasrciei, diminuarea accelerat a resurselor(inclusiv a rezervelor de ap potabil),subalimentaie, analfabetism. Fluxurilemigratoare sunt manifeste, dar nu suntrezolutive.

Triplarea populaiei Lumii a Treia

sterilization in India, the non-interventionistpolicies applied by some stats in the healthsystem and social protection etc. Most of theeffects are failures. Thus a cleavages was

created in the world, the demographiccleavage, characterized throughoverpopulation of the geographical areaswhere poor people live and chronic under

population of some Western states. Thisoverpopulation enables that some territoriesin the developed regions to be released bydrastic decrease of the native populationdensity; instead opening opportunities formassive emigration. Under thesecircumstances, the rich states are subject to a

set of major constraints: identity alteration,clash of civilizations, the reject reaction fromthe native populations, the threateningunemployment for the native populations as aconsequence of cheap labour of theimmigrants, decrease of the developmentrhythms and finally poverty import.

Of course mobility of populationtakes place in the world but broadly speakingthey are under control. To this senseCanadas example is self-evident. Today you

can meet Cense everywhere in the world,nonetheless in no country their number donot exceed the number of native people;Afro-American football players can be foundin the national football teams of England,France, Holland and Germany (who wouldhave thought so 20 years ago for Germany);although this does not mean that the ethnicstructure of these countries has been yetaltered essentially. Yet, but it is notimpossible, in a far-off future.

The issue of geographic space anyway insufficient to absorb thedemographic shock, even in the hypotheticrelocation of distributions in the world,would probably lead to, for instance, MuslimFrance, Buddhism in USA, Confucianism inRussia and so on, and would not be the sole

problem generated by the demographicexplosion. It generates poverty expansion,accelerated diminution of resources

(including drinkable water), malnutrition, and


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este o realitate. De exemplu, Irakul avea n1970 doar 10 milioane de locuitori, azi are24 de milioane i peste treizeci de ani vaatinge 50 de milioane, n timp ce rezervele

sale de petrol sunt egale cu cele aleNorvegiei (4,5 milioane de locuitori estimain 2040). Numai c dac Norvegia arealternative de dezvoltare, Irakul aproape ci-a epuizat i aceste rezerve. ,,Cum este

posibil s ne imaginm c suprapopularearilor srace nu va fi mai devastatoare decttoate rzboaiele mondiale la un loc? sentreab Millemann. i rspunsul este, deialarmant, argumentat: ,,Astzi nimeni nu

poate opri fluxurile migratoare care provin

din aceste zone. i cei care cred cmai multde dou treimi din populaia mondial varmne linitit acas la ea i va muri defoame, cu minile-n sn, privindu-ne cum

prosperm, fr s spun sau sa facnimic,sunt naivi.

ONU prevede cEuropa va primi, nurmtorii zece ani, peste 28 de milioane deimigrani provenii din zona sa geograficdeinfluen, cea mai mare parte musulmani! O

pictur de ap nesemnificativ comparativ

cu oceanul de 3 miliarde de oameni care sevor nate n ri devenite sterile printr-osupraexploatare a materiilor prime, odistrugere a firmelor de agriculturtradiional, prin inexistena structuriloreconomice i sociale necesare dezvoltrii imeninerea n funcie a conductorilorcorupi care i nsuesc profitul, puinelor

bogii rmase20.Dezastrul n extindere n care se zbat

popoarele din Lumea a Treia este la limitainimaginabilului. Despre ce cretere mai

poate fi vorba cnd nevoile elementarepentru a tri sunt de departe insuficiente?Conform statisticilor Organizaiei Mondialea Sntii peste 1,5 miliarde de oameni nuau acces la ap, peste 2 miliarde triesc frnicio instalaie sanitar, peste 4 miliarde nuau canalizri, ntre 17 i 18 milioane de

illiteracy. The migrating fluxes are manifest,but they are not resolutive.

Trebling of the population in theThird World is a reality. For example, in

1970, Iraq had 10 million inhabitants, todayit has 24 million and in 30 years it will have50 million, while the oil reserves are equal tothose of Norway (4, 5 million inhabitantsestimated in 2040). There is one difference

between the two, Norway has foundalternatives of development, while Iraq hasexhausted its. How can it be possible not toimagine that overpopulation of the poorcountries is a lot more devastating than allthe world wars put together? Millemann

asks himself. Though alarming, the answer iswell argued: Today nobody can stop themigrating fluxes coming from thosecountries. And those who think that morethan 2/ 3 of the world population will staycalm at home starving, hands folded,watching our prosperity, without saying ordoing anything, are nave.

UNO foresees that in the next 10years, Europe will receive over 28 millionimmigrants from it influential area, mostly

Muslim people! An insignificant water dropcomparatively to the 3 billion people oceanto be born in the countries that have becomesterile because of the overexploitation of rawmaterials, destruction of the firms oftraditional agriculture, lack of economic andsocial structures necessary to developing andmaintaining of corrupt leaders who take

possession of the profit in the few richesleft41.

The extending disaster against whichthe populations in the Third World struggle isunimaginable. What growth can we talkabout when the elementary needs areinsufficient for living? According to thestatistics of World Organization of Healthover 1.5 billion of people have no access towater, over 2 billion live with no sanitaryinstallation, over 4 billion have no sewerage

20 Ibidem, p. 22;41Ibid, p.22


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oameni mor anual din cauza unor boliinfecioase i peste 20% din populaiamondial este analfabet. La acestea seadaug malnutriia cu care se confrunt un

miliard de oameni, lipsa locuinelor,poluarea, durata redusa vieii .a.Omenirea s-a confruntat, de-a lungul

existenei ei cu nenumrate crize, rzboaie,catastrofe, ns afirm alturi de Th. P.Milleman cmarile probleme ale ei abia de-acum ncep: ,,Singura soluie a acestor

populaii va fi moartea, rzboiul pentru, a-iapropria bogiile vecinilor lor, sau, maisimplu, imigrarea spre zone salvatoare,

precum rile dezvoltate. Nu trebuie s ne

ascundem: o situaie clandestin ntr-osrcie social inadmisibil n ochii notri,

precum i o amrt de poman pentruhran, dar cu sperana unei integrri vor fintotdeauna mai bune dect o moarte sigurntr-o ardevastat!21.

Explozia demografic depete cumult nevoile de forde munc, nevoi aflaten scdere vertiginoas, urmare a utilizriitehnologiilor avansate, tehnologii cesuplinesc pe scar larg omul. Capitalul

uman este unul excedentar i, prin urmare,i pierde treptat mare parte din utilitate, dinvaloarea sa de ntrebuinare. Exist n lumeoameni care dein capital financiar, bancar,imobiliar, industrial, informaional etc. Ei imsoarbogia funcie de capitalul pe care-ldein n proprietate i caut mereu soluii

pentru reproducerea capitalului deinut.Exist, totodat miliarde de oameni care sezbat n srcie, fiind total lipsii de capital.Karl Max i-a numit proletari, pornind de laetimologia termenului proles, avndsemnificaia de oameni cu copii muli, pecare nu-i poate ntreine din lips de avere(bogie). n termeni economici, proletarul

posed drept capital unic copiii i propriaforde munc. Dezvoltndu-i bogia prinsporirea capitalului deinut, accelernd decicapitalizarea, cei avui nu au nevoie s-i

system, between 17 and 18 million people dieannually because of infectious diseases andover 20% of the world population is illiterate.To all these malnutrition of a billion people,

lack of dwelling, pollution, low life span etc.are added.Throughout its being in the world,

mankind faced numberless crises, wars,catastrophes; nevertheless I join Th. P.Millemann when he states that the mankindsgreatest issues are about to begin: The onlysolution of these population is death, war toappropriate the neighbours riches or merelyimmigration to the safer areas as thedeveloped countries. There is no need for us

to hide: a secret situation in a social povertyinconceivable in our eyes, as a poor charityfor food, hoping in integration will always be

better than certain death in a devastatedcountry!42

Demographic explosion muchexceeds the need for labour supply, need inrapid decrease as a consequence of hightechnologies, technologies that replace

broadly the human. The human capital is inexcess and it follows that it loses most part of

its utility, of its value. In the world there arepeople who own financial capital, bankingcapital, estate capital, industrial capital,informational capital etc. They fathom theirrichness varying with the capital they ownand have always searched for means to re-

produce the owned capital. There havealways been billions of people who struggleagainst poverty, totally missing the capital.Karl Marx called them proletarians, using asa starting point the etymology of the word

proles,having the meaning people with lotsof children whom they cannot support

because of the lack of wealth (richness). Ineconomic terms, the proletarian possesses asunique capital the children and his labourforce. Wealthy people do not need to increasethe number of children in order to becomericher since they develop their wealth by

21 Ibidem;42Ibid


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sporeasc numrul de copii spre a sembogi. n cazul proletarului, singura luisursde existeneste fora sa de munc, iar

pentru familie, fora de munc a copiilor.

Pentru a putea tri, proletarul trebuie svnd ceea ce are: fora de munc. Preulforei de muncmarfpltit de capitalist estesalariul singurul mijloc de subzisten

pentru proletar, ns acest pre nu acopervaloarea integrala forei de munc marf.Distincia pe care Marx o face ntre timpulde muncnecesar (pentru sine) i timpul desupramunc (pentru capitalist) este unacorect pentru c, n fiecare moment

proletarul muncete att pentru propriul

salariu, ct i pentru sporirea profiturilorcapitalistului (plusvaloarea). Dar o familiecu un singur salariat ctigmult mai puindect o familie cu 2-3 membri angajai.Sursa de cretere a veniturilor este neleasde ctre cei sraci drept cretere a numruluicopiilor. Copiii proletarilor au reprezentatcontribuii la sporirea capitaluluiangajatorului.

n esen, lucrurile nu stau absolutdiferit azi. Doar cnevoia de forde munc

pe piaeste n scdere ireversibil, urmare aprogresului tehnologic. Capitalul i-a creatforme proprii de reproducere, ,,armataindustrial de rezerv de care vorbea Marxfiind tot mai numeroas n lumea srac.Ceea ce conduce nu doar la amplificareaomajului, ci i la ieftinirea forei de muncn lume, reuindu-se antagonizarea

populaiei autohtone cu populaia imigrant.Apoi, marile concerne, societiletransnaionale plaseazinvestiii i funcie deatractivitatea preului forei de munc. Darasemenea plasamente se dovedesc tot maiinsuficiente n faa exploziei demografice dinstatele srace.

Ideea sporirii propriei avuii este unaspecific fiinei umane. i sracii i bogaiii doresc s-i sporeasc averea. Pentru

primii, sursa este una iraionalazi: cretereanumrului de copii. Pentru cei de pe urmcopiii nu mai reprezintdemult capital i, de

aceea, familiile lor i-au redus considerabil

increasing the owned capital, thusaccelerating capitalization. In the case of the

proletarian, his only source of being is hislabour force and for the family, the labour

force of children. In order to live, theproletarian has to sell what he has: labourforce. The price of the labour forcemerchandise paid by the capitalist is thesalary the proletarians only way tosupport; nonetheless this price does not coverthe overall labour force merchandise. Thedistinction Marx does between the time ofwork necessary (for himself) and time ofoverwork (for the capitalist) is accurateenough because every moment the

proletarian works for his own salary and toincrease the capitalists profit (surplus). But afamily with only one salaried person earnsless than a family with 2-3 employedmembers. The source to increase his profit isunderstood by the poor as an increase of thenumber of children. The proletarianschildren represented contributions to increasethe employers capital.

In essence, things are not muchdifferent today. With the only difference - the

need for labour force is in irreversibledecrease, the consequence of the technologic

progress. Capital has its own way to re-produce, the spare industrial army, beingmore and more numerous in the poor world.That not only leads to the unemploymentamplitude, but to cheap labour force; theultimate consequence the native people isantagonist to the immigrant population. Thenthe great concern, the multinational societies

place investments varying with the attractiveprice of labour supply, although suchplacements prove insufficient in front of thedemographic explosion in the poor states.

The idea of increasing one ownwealth has always been specific to the human

being. Both the poor and the well-to-do wishto increase their wealth. For the first, thesource is irrational today: increasing theirnumber of children. For the latter, it has beena long time since the children do not

represent the capital and that is why, their


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numrul de copii. ,,Cnd o franuzoaic deorigine european de mai multe generaiiiudeo-cretine majoritatea poporuluifrancez provine din imigraia european

face un copil, cretin, imigranta din Africade Nord sau franuzoaica de originemagrebian face patru, musulmani. Frcontribuia imigranilor i a natalitii lor,Frana ar numra doar 54 de milioane delocuitori, n loc de 60 de milioane ct are laora actual. Creterea de 6 milioane defrancezi este, de fapt, cea a imigraiei ei, n

primul rnd, a natalitii musulmane dinultimii douzeci de ani22. DEVAZUT?????

Rezolv ea, imigraia, problemaexploziei demografice? Sau, mai curnd, seglobalizeazsrcia?

families diminished significantly the numberof children. When a French woman ofEuropean origin for many generations Judeo-Christian most of the French populations

derives from European immigration has aChristian child, the immigrant in NorthAfrica or the French woman of Maghreborigin has 4 Muslim children. Without theimmigrants contribution and their birth rate,France would have only 54 millioninhabitants instead of 60 million, the current

population. The growth of 6 million Frenchbelongs to it immigrants and in the first placeof the Muslim birth rate in the last 20years43.

Can the immigration tackle with theissue of demographic explosion? Or bettersaid, does poverty become global?

22 Ibidem, p.39;43Ibid, p.39

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