Astro-Bio-Geodynamics – a transdisciplinary approach to

Lovelock’s Gaia Hypothesis

“ Nuanţele raţiunii umane pot contribui la raţiunea globală a umanităţii pentru constituirea unui model ontologic care să explice mai corect lumea materială şi să îndrume ştiinţa spre noi explorări şi cunoaştere riguroasă.”

Blaga

Dr. Florin MunteanuCenter for Complexity Studies

Romanian Academiy, Institute of Geopdynamics

In the framework of the Institute, activities are performed by work groups directing their efforts to:

•The study of space-time evolution of the relative displacements between blocks which are in contact in the Vrancea

geodynamically

active area, with a special concern for the Tulnici-Gresu

profile;

•The design of the methodology for an optimal emplacement of sensors able to highlight physical parameters causally linked to stress cumulating/ triggering in geodinamically active areas;

•The study of geomagnetic, gravity and geothermal fields space-

time evolution; implications in Geodynamics;

•The study of possibilities to use information provided by the natural variations of the electromagnetic field, for a better knowledge of the tectonic blocks geometry, concerning especially certain geodynamically

active areas;

•The study of the connections between volcanism and geodynamically

active processes, with a special concern for connections with major tectonic sutures;

•Nonlinear analysis of geodynamic systems;

•Tectonic hazard studies.

Vreancea zone- a geophysical natural laboratory

Short-term prediction (hours to weeks) was successful in very few cases where precursory phenomena were evidentIntermediate-term prediction (one month to 10 years) is considered fair for well monitored regions.Long-term prediction (10-30 years) is considered good for high slip rate faults but poor for very low slip rate tectonic provinces.

Prediction = Position+ Intensity + Time

Earthquakes are the expression of “geocomplexity”

“the existence of periodic and irregular temporal windows in a specific seismically active region would imply that the degree of predictability itself changes with time”

(Goltz, 1997, p. 158). So earthquakes are the expression of “geocomplexity”

(Rundle et al., 2000) …..Undecidability

in earthquake faulting: a reviewA. Ribeiro

1, 2; J. Cabral 1; R. Taborda

1; L. Matias3, R. Caranova

1

A new approach: Complexity science

“

Complexity is not a methodology or a set of tools (although it does provide both). It certenly

is not a “management fad”. The Science of Complexity provides a conceptual framework, a way of thinking, a way of seeing the World”

Eve Mitleton

–

Kelly,Complexity Reasearch

Programme, London school of Economics

Latin word complexus, which signifies "entwined", "twisted together". This may be interpreted in the following way: in order to have a complex you need two or more components, which are joined in such a way that it is difficult to separate them. Similarly, the Oxford Dictionary defines something as "complex" if it is "made of (usually several) closely connected parts".

Order, Predictability Analitical

approach Disorder, Randomness, Statistical approach

Disipative systems

-Patterns

-Bifurcations

-INFORMATION…

= COMPLEXITY

•sensitivity to initial conditions•self-organize criticality •context dependency•synchronizations of chaotic oscillators……•new models•new tools•new techniques

To improve the earthquake prediction we need more information

ASTRO-GEOPHYSICS

- Electromagnetic survey (VAN)

- Ionospheric perturbations before an earthquake

- Earthquakes triggered by earth tide

To improve the earthquake prediction we need MORE information… + BIO

Bioelectronics

Biology bring a new insight… form energy and matter to… information

20th century life sciences have been characterised

by two major trends:molecular and genetic reductionism. semiotisation of nature.

semiotic processes were prevalent at the biochemical level (endosemiotics)semiotic processes linked to communications between organisms (exosemiotics)

( data, information, meaning, knowledge, wisdom )Semantic processor

Infodynamics –

Brooks and Wiley, 1986; Weber, et al., 1989; Weber and Depew, 1995; Goodwin, 1989; Salthe, 1993;

-

Sahleanu, 1972 (eseu

de biologie

informationala), Draganescu

1973 (Ortofizica)

information capacity increases spontaneously in developing systems, being produced along with physical entropy as the system grows and differentiates (the MEST law).

H + I = ct ????The novelty is constantly and autonomously generated by the requirements of the

second law of thermodynamics

The role of the observer a science of the subjective

For several centuries, achievements in comprehending and applying the principles and mechanics of matter and energy had proceeded under the premise that subjective experience was at best irrelevant and frequently an obstruction to the practice of rigorous objective quantification.

Quantum physics + Artificial Inteligence + Complexity Science + Cognitive Science = a transdisciplinary approach to Nature

A question that need an answer:

how to accommodate the classical approach with issues of context and meaning, both of which are inherently subjective yet critical aspects of pragmatic information.

the observation of consciousness-related anomalies emerging in the behavior of complex physical or biological systems

has provided evidence that the prevailing models of these regimes are inherently incomplete, and must be expanded to accommodate a participatory role for the observing mind.

information controls system dynamics.

Astro & Geo & Bio a

holistic view named

GAIA

Global self-regulation is a natural consequence of the interactions between the biota and the physical world;The holistic approach of viewing Gaia as one entity and comparing Gaia to a living organism seems to be legitimate and it has a practical use

Remarks:-

Living organisms and especial the MAN, are crucial parts in the behavior of GAIA (informational processors, quantum physics);

-

Geodynamical events, ecological events, social and economic behavior, are aspects of the GAIA life…

-

Understanding the GAIA phenomenon is crucial for defining a sustainable development on mankind.

Lovelock, J. E. 1987. Gaia: A New Look at Life on Earth.

To explore the Gaia, in a coherent info - energo - mater frame, it is necessary:

To improve the quality of academic level by:Promoting science of Complexity, computing techniques, cognitive abilities ( a mind up-grade);A special team training for scientists in order to understand and apply in a creative way a pluri, interand trans-disciplinary approach (new skills)

To develop new experimental setups, according to this new vision.

UNESCO CHAIR in GEODYNAMICA

The Geodynamic Observatory - CALDARUSANI

A laboratory for the studies of the Quality of a Natural environment by the use of complexity science tools

-Noise can synchronize biochemical reactions

-Synergic behavior of parts can define the quality of the whole system

-Chaotic resonance can play an important role in the biorhythms of living systems (an interesting coupling between living and nonliving systems –

the Gaia view)

Artificial Intelligence & Seismic monitoring systemObs:Each seismic event modifies irreversibly the system’s

structure; a new re-assessment of the situation and re-adaptation of the analytical model has to be carried out permanently; MULTIMODEL

Multimodel –

An assembly of models (dynamic systems) and computational simulations employing cellular automata (intelligent agents) capable to discriminate/classify the data flux (streaming) provided by the sensors from the monitored reality.

Artificial Intelligence & Seismic monitoring systemObs:Each seismic event provides new initial conditions. The result is a

reduced predictability, yet not impossible;

ni

mistatistics

Log(ni)

Log(mi)

Ni ~ miD

Per Bak

(SOC)

Artificial Intelligence & Seismic monitoring systemObs:The energy discharged by each seismic event is radiated/transferred to

neighboring systems of equal or inferior hierarchical position.

To understand the evolution of a seismic region it is necessary a network

of complex monitoring system.

Artificial Intelligence & Seismic monitoring systemObs:Gaia as a complex system; the nead

of monitoring the energy exchange, and other types of exchanges, between adjacent and subordinated systems, both living or not; .

data acquisition + complex network of different types of sensors + multimodel + processing block + neural network = an novel type of monitoring system (intelligent and self-adaptive, i.e. self-learning, capable to dynamically evaluate the on-ground situation in real-time)

a system with artificial intelligence that itself behaves chaotically will, under the influence of a specific flux of data/stimuli, synchronize itself with the monitored Reality

Understanding natural structures: new sensors, new experimental setups

Dr. Adrian Bejan

Developing a “new mind processor “ for transdisciplinary approach

Thank you for your attention!