Protectia Principalilor Indicatori Macroeconomici

COMISIA NAIONAL DE PROGNOZ

Varianta preliminar a Prognozei de primvar

ETAPA II: PROGNOZA PE TERMEN MEDIU

PROIECIA PRINCIPALILOR INDICATORI MACROECONOMICI N PERIOADA 2007 - 2013

- 2 Aprilie 2007 -

Prognoza preliminar de primvar Comisia Naional de Prognoz aprilie 2007

1

PROIECIA PRINCIPALILOR INDICATORI MACROECONOMICI

- modificare procentual fa de anul anterior -

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Produsul intern brut - mld. lei 246,5 288,0 342,4 391,8 440,7 489,8 539,4 587,4 636,5 689,2 - % 8,5 4,1 7,7 6,5 6,3 5,9 5,8 5,8 5,7 5,7 din care: - Industrie1) 6,4 2,3 6,9 4,8 5,2 5,4 5,4 5,4 5,3 5,3 - Agricultur, silvicultur, piscicultur, exploatare forestier1) 18,6 -18,7 3,3 3,0 3,2 3,5 3,5 2,3 2,0 1,6 - Construcii1) 9,1 9,8 19,4 14,6 11,0 10,5 10,5 9,8 9,7 9,4 - Servicii1) 6,8 9,4 7,3 6,7 6,5 6,0 5,8 5,8 5,7 5,7 Consumul final 10,2 9,5 11,5 8,3 7,4 6,8 5,9 5,4 5,7 5,3 - Consumul individual efectiv al gospodriilor 12,8 9,1 12,6 8,9 7,8 7,3 6,3 5,8 6,0 5,6 - Consumul colectiv efectiv al administraiei publice -9,3 13,5 2,7 3,0 3,7 2,5 2,0 2,0 3,0 2,3 Formarea brut de capital fix 11,1 12,6 16,1 14,2 12,0 11,3 10,6 10,5 10,0 10,0 Rata de investiie (% din PIB) 21.8 23.1 24.6 26.3 27.5 28.8 30.0 31.2 32.3 33.5 Contribuii la cresterea real a PIB - procente Cererea intern 12,9 8,7 14,1 10,7 9,6 8,9 8,0 7,7 7,9 7,6 - Consumul individual efectiv al gospodriilor 9,6 7,1 9,9 7,0 6,1 5,6 4,8 4,4 4,6 4,2 - Consumul colectiv efectiv al administraiei publice -0,9 1,0 0,2 0,3 0,3 0,2 0,2 0,2 0,2 0,2

- Formarea brut de capital fix 2,4 2,8 3,7 3,5 3,2 3,1 3,1 3,2 3,1 3,2 - Modificarea stocurilor 1,9 -2,2 0,3 -0,1 0,0 0,0 -0,1 0,0 0,0 0,0

Cererea extern net (export net) -4,5 -4,5 -6,4 -4,1 -3,3 -3,0 -2,1 -2,0 -2,2 -2,0 1) Valoarea adugat brut


2

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Export de bunuri - mil. euro 18935 22255 25850 30250 35300 40900 46800 53200 59700 66600 - % 21,3 17,5 16,2 17,0 16,7 15,9 14,4 13,7 12,2 11,6 Import de bunuri (CIF) - mil. euro 26281 32569 40746 48700 57090 66090 74210 82340 90680 99130 - % 24,0 23,9 25,1 19,5 17,2 15,7 12,3 10,9 10,1 9,3 Import de bunuri (FOB) - mil. euro 24258 30061 37609 44950 52700 61000 68500 76000 83700 91500 - % 24,0 23,9 25,1 19,5 17,2 15,7 12,3 10,9 10,1 9,3 Soldul balanei comerciale - mil. euro - (FOB-FOB) -5323 -7806 -11759 -14700 -17400 -20100 -21700 -22800 -24000 -24900 - (FOB-CIF) -7346 -10314 -14896 -18450 -21790 -25190 -27410 -29140 -30980 -32530 Contul curent - mil. euro -5099 -6883 -9973 -12150 -13600 -15200 -16300 -17100 -17900 -18700

Contul curent n PIB - % -8,4 -8,7 -10,3 -10,5 -10,2 -10,1 -9,7 -9,2 -8,7 -8,4 Creterea preurilor de consum

Decembrie fa de decembrie an anterior 9,3 8,6 4,87 4,3 3,5 3,0 2,5 2,5 2,5 2,5 Medie an/medie an anterior 11,9 9,0 6,56 4,3 4,3 3,2 2,7 2,5 2,5 2,5

Deflatorul PIB2) 15,0 12,2 10,4 7,4 5,9 5,0 4,0 3,0 2,5 2,5 Cursul de schimb - lei/euro 4,05 3,62 3,525 3,40 3,30 3,25 3,20 3,15 3,10 3,10 Populaia ocupat (medie) 3) - mii persoane 8087,7 8152,5 8185 8210 8235 8255 8275 8290 8305 8320 - % -2,3 0,8 0,4 0,3 0,3 0,2 0,2 0,2 0,2 0,2 Numrul mediu de salariai 3) - mii persoane 4468,8 4558,9 4615 4700 4780 4855 4915 4965 5015 5055

- % -2,7 2,0 1,2 1,8 1,7 1,6 1,2 1,0 1,0 0,8 Ctigul salarial mediu brut - lei 818 968 1140 1330 1470 1610 1750 1900 2060 2230 - % 23,2 18,3 17,8 16,7 10,5 9,5 8,7 8,6 8,4 8,3 Ctigul salarial real - % 10,5 14,3 7,6 11,0 8,0 6,9 5,5 5,7 5,5 5,4 Numrul de omeri nregistrai (la sf. anului) - mii persoane 557,9 523,0 460,5 460 455 450 440 430 420 410 - rata omajului - % 6,3 5,9 5,2 5,2 5,1 5,0 4,9 4,8 4,7 4,6

2) Creterea general a preurilor din economie, inclusiv preurile bunurilor de capital 3) Reprezint numrul mediu al populatiei ocupate si al salariailor din sectorul civil formal, conform sferei de cuprindere a Balanei forei de munc


3

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Populaia ocupat total (cf. AMIGO) - mii pers. 9157 9147 9430 9575 9700 9790 9850 9890 9930 9960 - % -0,7 -0,1 3,1 1,5 1,3 0,9 0,6 0,4 0,4 0,3

Numr mediu de salariai (cf. AMIGO) - mii pers. 6036 5921 6255 6420 6560 6665 6747 6825 6902 6974 - % 4,8 -1,9 5,6 2,6 2,2 1,6 1,2 1,2 1,1 1,0

Someri BIM (cf. AMIGO) - mii pers. 800 704 745 735 730 720 710 700 680 670 - rata omajului BIM - % 8,0 7,2 7,3 7,1 7,0 6,8 6,7 6,6 6,4 6,3

Not: Datele pentru perioada 2003-2006 sunt publicate de Institutul Naional de Statistic.


4

PRODUSUL INTERN BRUT PE RAMURI

- modificari procentuale fata de anul anterior -

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Industrie Productie 6.8 2.5 7.1 4.7 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 Valoare adaugata bruta 6.4 2.3 6.9 4.8 5.2 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 Agricultura, silvicultura, piscicultura, exploatare forestiera Productie 16.7 -13.2 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.5 2.5 2.0 1.6 Valoare adaugata bruta 18.6 -18.7 3.3 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.5 2.3 2.0 1.6 Constructii Productie 9.3 9.6 19.8 14.5 10.9 10.5 10.5 9.7 9.5 9.3 Valoare adaugata bruta 9.1 9.8 19.4 14.6 11.0 10.5 10.5 9.8 9.7 9.4 Servicii Productie 8.4 10.0 7.8 6.6 6.4 5.9 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 Valoare adaugata bruta 6.8 9.4 7.3 6.7 6.5 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 Total economie Productie 8.8 4.1 8.0 6.2 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 Valoare adaugata bruta 8.4 3.5 7.7 6.5 6.3 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.7 5.7 Impozite nete pe produs 9.2 9.4 7.5 7.2 6.2 5.0 4.8 5.1 5.0 5.0 PRODUS INTERN BRUT 8.5 4.1 7.7 6.5 6.3 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7


5

PRODUCTIA, CONSUMUL INTERMEDIAR SI VALOAREA ADAUGATA BRUTA PE RAMURI, IMPOZITELE NETE PE PRODUS SI PRODUSUL INTERN BRUT - miliarde lei si indici - 2004 2005 2006 2007

RAMURA Indice

de volum

Valoare la pret 2003

Indice de pret

Valoare la pret curent

Indice de

volum


Indice de

pret


Indice de

volum


Indice de

pret


Indice de

volum


Indice de pret


Industrie Productie 106.8 163.2 118.1 192.8 102.5 197.5 109.7 216.7 107.1 232.1 110.8 257.1 104.7 269.1 109.2 293.7 Consum intermediar 107.0 110.6 119.4 132.0 102.6 135.3 108.9 147.4 107.2 158.0 110.9 175.2 104.6 183.3 109.1 200.0 Valoare adaugata bruta 106.4 52.7 115.4 60.8 102.3 62.2 111.5 69.4 106.9 74.1 110.5 81.9 104.8 85.8 109.3 93.7 Agricultura, silvicultura, piscicultura, exploatare forestiera Productie 116.7 50.3 116.5 58.6 86.8 50.9 97.4 49.6 103.0 51.0 106.8 54.5 103.0 56.1 102.3 57.4 Consum intermediar 114.6 23.2 118.9 27.6 92.9 25.6 98.2 25.2 102.7 25.8 104.3 27.0 102.9 27.7 102.2 28.4 Valoare adaugata bruta 118.6 27.1 114.5 31.0 81.3 25.2 96.6 24.4 103.3 25.2 109.3 27.5 103.0 28.3 102.4 29.0 Constructii Productie 109.3 28.0 117.6 32.9 109.6 36.0 112.2 40.4 119.8 48.4 110.4 53.4 114.5 61.2 108.6 66.5 Consum intermediar 109.4 15.4 118.1 18.2 109.4 19.9 111.0 22.1 120.1 26.6 110.7 29.4 114.4 33.7 108.5 36.5 Valoare adaugata bruta 109.1 12.5 116.9 14.6 109.8 16.1 113.7 18.3 119.4 21.8 110.0 24.0 114.6 27.5 108.7 29.9 Total servicii Productie 108.4 173.7 114.1 198.3 110.0 218.1 111.5 243.1 107.8 262.0 110.2 288.7 106.6 307.7 107.0 329.2 Consum intermediar 110.6 75.9 111.7 84.8 110.7 93.9 107.3 100.7 108.5 109.3 108.8 118.9 106.4 126.5 106.9 135.2 Valoare adaugata bruta 106.8 97.8 116.1 113.5 109.4 124.2 114.6 142.4 107.3 152.8 111.2 169.9 106.7 181.2 107.1 194.0

Total economie Productie 108.8 415.2 116.2 482.5 104.1 502.5 109.4 549.8 108.0 593.6 110.1 653.8 106.2 694.0 107.6 746.8 Consum intermediar 109.1 225.1 116.6 262.6 104.7 274.8 107.5 295.4 108.2 319.7 109.6 350.5 105.9 371.2 107.8 400.1 Valoare adaugata bruta 108.4 190.1 115.7 220.0 103.5 227.7 111.7 254.4 107.7 273.9 110.7 303.3 106.5 322.9 107.4 346.6 Impozite nete pe produs 109.2 24.2 109.4 26.5 109.4 28.9718 116.2 33.7 107.5 36.2 108.2 39.1 107.2 41.9 107.7 45.2

PRODUS INTERN BRUT 108.5 214.3 115.0 246.5 104.1 256.7 112.2 288.0 107.7 310.1 110.4 342.4 106.5 364.8 107.4 391.8


6

- miliarde lei si indici - 2008 2009 2010

RAMURA Indice

de volum


Indice de pret


Indice de

volum


Indice de

pret

Valoare la pret

curent

Indice de

volum


Indice de

pret Valoare la pret curent

Industrie Productie 105.1 308.7 107.5 331.9 105.3 349.3 106.5 371.9 105.5 392.2 105.5 413.6 Consum intermediar 105.1 210.1 107.5 225.8 105.2 237.5 106.4 252.7 105.5 266.6 105.4 281.1 Valoare adaugata bruta 105.2 98.6 107.6 106.1 105.4 111.9 106.5 119.1 105.4 125.6 105.5 132.5 Agricultura, silvicultura, piscicultura, exploatare forestiera Productie 103.2 59.2 102.0 60.4 103.5 62.5 102.0 63.8 103.5 66.0 101.5 67.0 Consum intermediar 103.3 29.3 102.1 29.9 103.4 30.9 101.9 31.5 103.6 32.6 101.4 33.1 Valoare adaugata bruta 103.2 29.9 101.9 30.5 103.5 31.6 102.1 32.2 103.5 33.4 101.6 33.9 Constructii Productie 110.9 73.7 106.6 78.6 110.5 86.8 105.3 91.4 110.5 100.9 104.3 105.3 Consum intermediar 110.9 40.5 106.5 43.2 110.4 47.7 105.2 50.2 110.4 55.4 104.2 57.7 Valoare adaugata bruta 111.0 33.2 106.7 35.4 110.5 39.1 105.4 41.2 110.5 45.6 104.4 47.6 Total servicii Productie 106.4 350.4 106.0 371.5 105.9 393.2 105.0 412.8 105.7 436.4 104.0 453.8 Consum intermediar 106.4 143.9 105.9 152.4 105.7 161.1 104.9 169.0 105.6 178.5 103.9 185.5 Valoare adaugata bruta 106.5 206.5 106.0 219.0 106.0 232.1 105.1 243.8 105.8 257.9 104.1 268.4

Total economie Productie 106.1 792.1 106.3 842.3 105.9 891.8 105.4 939.8 105.9 995.6 104.4 1039.7 Consum intermediar 105.9 423.8 106.5 451.2 105.7 477.2 105.5 503.4 105.9 533.1 104.5 557.4 Valoare adaugata bruta 106.3 368.3 106.2 391.1 106.0 414.6 105.3 436.4 106.0 462.4 104.3 482.3 Impozite nete pe produs 106.2 48.0 103.5 49.6 105.0 52.1 102.5 53.4 104.8 56.0 101.9 57.0

PRODUS INTERN BRUT 106.3 416.3 105.9 440.7 105.9 466.7 105.0 489.8 105.8 518.4 104.0 539.4


7

- miliarde lei si indici - 2011 2012 2013

RAMURA Indice

de volum


Indice de pret


Indice de

volum


Indice de

pret Valoare la pret curent

Indice de

volum


Indice de pret


Industrie Productie 105.5 436.2 103.5 451.4 105.4 475.7 103.0 490.0 105.4 516.3 103.0 531.8 Consum intermediar 105.5 296.5 103.5 307.0 105.4 323.6 103.0 333.2 105.4 351.3 103.0 361.8 Valoare adaugata bruta 105.4 139.7 103.4 144.5 105.3 152.1 103.0 156.7 105.3 165.0 103.0 169.9 Agricultura, silvicultura, piscicultura, exploatare forestiera Productie 102.5 68.7 101.5 69.7 102.0 71.1 101.5 72.2 101.6 73.4 101.5 74.5 Consum intermediar 102.7 34.0 101.4 34.5 102.1 35.2 101.4 35.7 101.7 36.3 101.4 36.8 Valoare adaugata bruta 102.3 34.7 101.6 35.2 102.0 35.9 101.6 36.5 101.6 37.1 101.6 37.7 Constructii Productie 109.7 115.5 103.3 119.3 109.5 130.6 102.4 133.8 109.3 146.2 102.4 149.7 Consum intermediar 109.6 63.2 103.2 65.3 109.3 71.3 102.3 73.0 109.2 79.7 102.3 81.6 Valoare adaugata bruta 109.8 52.3 103.4 54.0 109.7 59.3 102.5 60.8 109.4 66.5 102.5 68.2 Total servicii Productie 105.7 479.7 103.0 494.1 105.6 521.8 102.6 535.3 105.6 565.5 102.6 580.2 Consum intermediar 105.5 195.7 102.8 201.3 105.5 212.4 102.5 217.6 105.5 229.6 102.5 235.3 Valoare adaugata bruta 105.8 284.0 103.1 292.8 105.7 309.4 102.7 317.7 105.7 335.9 102.7 345.0

Total economie Productie 105.8 1100.0 103.1 1134.5 105.7 1199.2 102.7 1231.3 105.7 1301.4 102.7 1336.2 Consum intermediar 105.8 589.4 103.1 608.0 105.7 642.4 102.7 659.5 105.7 696.9 102.7 715.5 Valoare adaugata bruta 105.9 510.6 103.1 526.5 105.7 556.8 102.7 571.7 105.7 604.5 102.7 620.7 Impozite nete pe produs 105.1 59.9 101.6 60.9 105.0 64.0 101.2 64.8 105.0 68.0 100.8 68.5

PRODUS INTERN BRUT 105.8 570.5 103.0 587.4 105.7 620.7 102.5 636.5 105.7 672.5 102.5 689.2


8

CONTRIBUTII LA CRESTEREA REALA A PIB - % -

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Industrie 1.6 0.6 1.6 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 Agricultura, silvicultura, piscicultura, exploatare forestiera 2.2 -2.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 Constructii 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 Total servicii 3.1 4.3 3.6 3.3 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.9 Impozite nete pe produs 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 PRODUS INTERN BRUT 8.5 4.1 7.7 6.5 6.3 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7


9

STRUCTURA PRODUSULUI INTERN BRUT PE RAMURI

- %, preturi curente -

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Industrie 24.7 24.1 23.9 23.9 24.1 24.3 24.6 24.6 24.6 24.7 Agricultura, silvicultura, piscicultura, exploatare forestiera 12.6 8.5 8.0 7.4 6.9 6.6 6.3 6.0 5.7 5.5 Constructii 5.9 6.3 7.0 7.6 8.0 8.4 8.8 9.2 9.6 9.9 Total servicii 46.0 49.4 49.6 49.5 49.7 49.8 49.8 49.8 49.9 50.0 Total economie 89.3 88.3 88.6 88.5 88.7 89.1 89.4 89.6 89.8 90.1 Impozite nete pe produs 10.7 11.7 11.4 11.5 11.3 10.9 10.6 10.4 10.2 9.9 PRODUS INTERN BRUT 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0


10

COMPONENTELE DE UTILIZARE A PIB - modificari procentuale fata de anul precedent - 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Produs intern brut - mld. RON 246.5 288.0 342.4 391.8 440.7 489.8 539.4 587.4 636.5 689.2 - crestere reala % 8.5 4.1 7.7 6.5 6.3 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 Consum final 10.2 9.5 11.5 8.3 7.4 6.8 5.9 5.4 5.7 5.3 Consumul individual efectiv al gospodariilor 12.8 9.1 12.6 8.9 7.8 7.3 6.3 5.8 6.0 5.6 Cheltuiala pentru consum final 14.5 9.7 14.1 9.8 8.4 7.9 6.8 6.3 6.4 6.0 Cheltuiala de consum individual al adm.publice si al IFSLSG 2.0 4.9 2.7 3.0 3.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 3.0 2.3 Consumul colectiv efectiv al adm publice -9.3 13.5 2.7 3.0 3.7 2.5 2.0 2.0 3.0 2.3 Formarea bruta a capitalului 19.4 2.5 17.6 13.9 12.2 11.6 10.8 11.2 10.6 10.5 Formarea bruta de capital fix 11.1 12.6 16.1 14.2 12.0 11.3 10.6 10.5 10.0 10.0 Modificarea stocurilor (Contrib.la cresterea reala a PIB) 1.9% -2.2% 0.3% -0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Cererea interna 12.0 8.0 12.8 9.5 8.5 7.9 7.1 6.9 7.0 6.7 Export net (Contributia la cresterea reala a PIB) -4.5% -4.5% -6.4% -4.1% -3.3% -3.0% -2.1% -2.0% -2.2% -2.0% Export de bunuri si servicii 13.9 8.1 10.6 10.0 9.0 8.6 7.5 7.6 7.8 8.0 Import de bunuri si servicii 22.1 16.6 23.0 16.5 13.8 12.9 10.1 9.8 10.4 9.8

Consum final 10.2 9.5 11.5 8.3 7.4 6.8 5.9 5.4 5.7 5.3 Cheltuielile cu consumul privat 14.6 9.6 13.9 9.7 8.4 7.9 6.8 6.1 6.2 6.0 Cheltuielile cu consumul guvernamental -4.9 9.0 2.5 2.9 3.6 2.4 1.9 2.5 3.5 2.0


11

UTILIZAREA PRODUSULUI INTERN BRUT - mld.lei si indici - 2004 2005 2006 2007 Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret volum 2003 pret curent volum 2004 pret curent volum 2005 pret curent volum 2006 pret curent PRODUSUL INTERN BRUT 108.5 214.3 115.0 246.5 104.1 256.7 112.2 288.0 107.7 310.1 110.4 342.4 106.5 364.8 107.4 391.8 Consum final 110.2 186.4 112.7 210.2 109.5 230.1 109.7 252.4 111.5 281.5 106.9 301.0 108.3 326.0 104.5 340.5 Consumul individual efectiv al gospodariilor 112.8 168.3 113.5 191.1 109.1 208.4 108.4 226.0 112.6 254.4 106.1 269.8 108.9 293.9 104.2 306.2 Cheltuiala pentru consum final 114.5 146.8 113.9 167.2 109.7 183.5 107.0 196.4 114.1 223.9 105.0 235.1 109.8 258.2 103.8 268.0 -- cumparari de marfuri 113.5 74.6 110.8 82.7 120.7 99.8 106.1 106.0 121.5 128.7 104.4 134.5 114.5 154.0 103.5 159.3 -- servicii 110.0 24.5 114.8 28.2 107.8 30.4 112.8 34.2 108.0 34.8 109.1 37.9 106.0 40.2 106.5 42.8 -- autoconsum si piata taraneasca 106.7 27.8 113.4 31.5 89.2 28.1 99.9 28.1 102.3 28.7 103.7 29.8 101.5 30.2 102.5 31.0 -- alte servicii 141.6 19.8 125.4 24.9 101.2 25.2 111.7 28.1 105.3 31.7 103.9 33.0 102.5 33.8 103.0 34.8 Cheltuiala de consum individual al adm.publice si al IFSLSG 102.0 21.5 110.6 23.8 104.9 25.0 118.6 29.6 102.7 30.4 114.0 34.7 103.0 35.7 107.0 38.2 Consumul colectiv efectiv al adm. publice 90.7 18.1 105.4 19.1 113.5 21.7 122.0 26.5 102.7 27.2 114.7 31.1 103.0 32.1 107.0 34.3 Formarea bruta a capitalului 119.4 51.5 113.8 58.6 102.5 60.1 108.8 65.4 117.6 76.9 107.9 82.9 113.9 94.5 106.7 100.8 Formarea bruta de capital fix 111.1 47.0 114.6 53.9 112.6 60.6 109.7 66.5 116.1 77.2 109.1 84.3 114.2 96.2 107.0 103.0 Modificarea stocurilor (Contrib.proc.la cresterea PIB real) 1.9% 4.8 -2.2% -1.1 0.3% -1.3 -0.1% -2.2 Cererea interna 112.0 238.0 113.0 268.8 108.0 290.2 109.5 317.8 112.8 358.4 107.1 383.9 109.5 420.4 105.0 441.3 Export net (contrib.proc la cresterea PIB real) -4.5% -23.7 -22.3 -4.5% -33.5 -29.8 -6.4% -48.3 -41.5 -4.1% -55.6 -49.5 Export de bunuri si servicii 113.9 78.1 113.4 88.6 108.1 95.7 99.1 94.9 110.6 104.9 105.7 110.9 110.0 121.9 103.2 125.9 Import de bunuri si servicii 122.1 101.8 108.9 110.9 116.6 129.3 96.4 124.7 123.0 153.3 99.4 152.4 116.5 177.6 98.8 175.4 Consum final 110.2 186.4 112.7 210.2 109.5 230.1 109.7 252.4 111.5 281.5 106.9 301.0 108.3 326.0 104.5 340.5 Cheltuielile cu consumul privat 114.6 149.5 113.9 170.4 109.6 186.8 107.1 200.0 113.9 227.8 105.1 239.3 109.7 262.5 103.8 272.5 Cheltuielile cu consumul guvernamental 95.1 36.9 107.8 39.8 109.0 43.4 120.9 52.4 102.5 53.7 114.8 61.7 102.9 63.5 107.1 68.0


12

- mld.lei si indici - 2008 2009 2010 Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret volum 2007 pret curent volum 2008 pret curent volum 2009 pret curent PRODUSUL INTERN BRUT 106.3 416.3 105.9 440.7 105.9 466.7 105.0 489.8 105.8 518.4 104.0 539.4 Consum final 107.4 365.7 104.0 380.2 106.8 406.0 103.1 418.8 105.9 443.3 102.7 455.2 Consumul individual efectiv al gospodariilor 107.8 330.1 103.8 342.6 107.3 367.5 103.0 378.5 106.3 402.2 102.5 412.4 Cheltuiala pentru consum final 108.4 290.5 103.5 300.8 107.9 324.7 102.8 333.8 106.8 356.6 102.4 365.0 -- cumparari de marfuri 112.0 178.5 103.4 184.5 111.0 204.7 102.8 210.5 109.0 229.4 102.3 234.7 -- servicii 106.2 45.5 106.0 48.2 106.1 51.1 104.0 53.2 106.0 56.4 103.5 58.4 -- autoconsum si piata taraneasca 101.0 31.3 102.0 31.9 101.0 32.2 101.8 32.8 101.0 33.1 101.5 33.6 -- alte servicii 101.5 35.3 102.5 36.2 101.0 36.6 102.0 37.3 101.0 37.7 101.7 38.3 Cheltuiala de consum individual al adm.publice si al IFSLSG 103.5 39.5 105.6 41.8 102.5 42.8 104.5 44.7 102.0 45.6 104.0 47.5 Consumul colectiv efectiv al adm. publice 103.7 35.6 105.6 37.6 102.5 38.5 104.5 40.3 102.0 41.1 104.0 42.7 Formarea bruta a capitalului 112.2 113.1 103.5 117.0 111.6 130.5 103.6 135.2 110.8 149.8 101.6 152.1 Formarea bruta de capital fix 112.0 115.3 105.0 121.1 111.3 134.8 104.8 141.2 110.6 156.2 103.7 162.0 Modificarea stocurilor (Contrib.proc.la cresterea PIB real) 0.0% -4.1 0.0% -6.0 -0.1% -9.8 Cererea interna 108.5 478.8 103.8 497.2 107.9 536.5 103.2 554.0 107.1 593.1 102.4 607.3 Export net (contrib.proc la cresterea PIB real) -3.3% -62.5 -56.5 -3.0% -69.8 -64.1 -2.1% -74.6 -67.9 Export de bunuri si servicii 109.0 137.2 102.6 140.7 108.6 152.9 104.1 159.1 107.5 171.1 103.4 176.9 Import de bunuri si servicii 113.8 199.6 98.8 197.2 112.9 222.7 100.3 223.2 110.1 245.7 99.6 244.8 Consum final 107.4 365.7 104.0 380.2 106.8 406.0 103.1 418.8 105.9 443.3 102.7 455.2 Cheltuielile cu consumul privat 108.4 295.3 103.6 305.8 107.9 329.9 102.8 339.1 106.8 362.1 102.4 370.7 Cheltuielile cu consumul guvernamental 103.6 70.4 105.7 74.4 102.4 76.2 104.6 79.7 101.9 81.2 104.1 84.5


13

- mld.lei si indici - 2011 2012 2013 Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare Indice Valoare de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret de la pret volum 2010 pret curent volum 2011 pret curent volum 2012 pret curent PRODUSUL INTERN BRUT 105.8 570.5 103.0 587.4 105.7 620.7 102.5 636.5 105.7 672.5 102.5 689.2 Consum final 105.4 479.9 102.1 490.2 105.7 518.3 102.1 529.3 105.3 557.4 102.0 568.7 Consumul individual efectiv al gospodariilor 105.8 436.4 102.1 445.5 106.0 472.3 102.1 482.2 105.6 509.2 102.0 519.4 Cheltuiala pentru consum final 106.3 388.0 102.1 395.9 106.4 421.2 102.1 429.8 106.0 455.6 102.0 464.5 Cheltuiala de consum individual al adm.publice si al IFSLSG 102.0 48.4 102.5 49.6 103.0 51.1 102.5 52.4 102.3 53.6 102.3 54.8 Consumul colectiv efectiv al adm. publice 102.0 43.6 102.5 44.7 103.0 46.0 102.5 47.1 102.3 48.2 102.3 49.3 Formarea bruta a capitalului 111.2 169.2 102.5 173.3 110.6 191.7 102.0 195.4 110.5 216.0 102.0 220.3 Formarea bruta de capital fix 110.5 179.0 102.5 183.5 110.0 201.8 102.0 205.8 110.0 226.4 102.0 231.0 Modificarea stocurilor (Contrib.proc.la cresterea PIB real) 0.0% -10.1 0.0% -10.4 0.0% -10.7 Cererea interna 106.9 649.1 102.2 663.5 107.0 709.9 102.1 724.8 106.7 773.4 102.0 789.0 Export net (contrib.proc la cresterea PIB real) -2.0% -78.5 -76.1 -2.2% -89.2 -88.3 -2.0% -100.9 -99.8 Export de bunuri si servicii 107.6 190.3 103.0 196.1 107.8 211.3 103.0 217.7 108.0 235.1 103.0 242.2 Import de bunuri si servicii 109.8 268.9 101.2 272.2 110.4 300.5 101.8 306.0 109.8 336.0 101.8 341.9 Consum final 105.4 479.9 102.1 490.2 105.7 518.3 102.1 529.3 105.3 557.4 102.0 568.7 Cheltuielile cu consumul privat 106.1 393.3 102.2 402.0 106.2 427.0 102.2 436.2 106.0 462.5 102.1 472.2 Cheltuielile cu consumul guvernamental 102.5 86.6 101.8 88.2 103.5 91.3 102.0 93.1 102.0 94.9 101.6 96.5


14

CONTRIBUTII LA CRESTEREA REALA A P. I. B.

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Produs intern brut 8.5 4.1 7.7 6.5 6.3 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 Consum final 8.7 8.1 10.1 7.3 6.4 5.9 5.0 4.6 4.8 4.4 Consumul individual efectiv al gospodariilor 9.6 7.1 9.9 7.0 6.1 5.6 4.8 4.4 4.6 4.2 Cheltuiala pentru consum final a populatiei 9.4 6.6 9.6 6.7 5.8 5.4 4.7 4.3 4.3 4.1 Cheltuiala de consum individual al adm.publice si al IFSLSG 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 Consumul colectiv efectiv al adm publice -0.9 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 Formarea bruta a capitalului 4.2 0.6 4.0 3.4 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.2 Formarea bruta de capital fix 2.4 2.8 3.7 3.5 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.2 Modificarea stocurilor 1.9 -2.2 0.3 -0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cererea interna 12.9 8.7 14.1 10.7 9.6 8.9 8.0 7.7 7.9 7.6 Export net -4.5 -4.5 -6.4 -4.1 -3.3 -3.0 -2.1 -2.0 -2.2 -2.0 Export de bunuri si servicii 4.8 2.9 3.5 3.2 2.9 2.8 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 Import de bunuri si servicii 9.3 7.5 9.9 7.4 6.2 5.8 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.7

Consum final 8.7 8.1 10.1 7.3 6.4 5.9 5.0 4.6 4.8 4.4 Cheltuielile cu consumul privat 9.7 6.7 9.6 6.8 5.8 5.5 4.7 4.2 4.3 4.1 Cheltuielile cu consumul guvernamental -1.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3


15

STRUCTURA PRODUSULUI INTERN BRUT PE ELEMENTE DE CHELTUIELI

- % - 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Consum final 85.3 87.6 87.9 86.9 86.3 85.5 84.4 83.5 83.2 82.5 Consumul individual efectiv al gospodariilor 77.5 78.5 78.8 78.2 77.7 77.3 76.5 75.9 75.8 75.4 Cheltuiala pentru consum final a populatiei 67.9 68.2 68.7 68.4 68.3 68.1 67.7 67.4 67.5 67.4 Cheltuiala de consum individual al adm.publice si al IFSLSG 9.7 10.3 10.1 9.8 9.5 9.1 8.8 8.4 8.2 8.0 Consumul colectiv efectiv al adm publice 7.8 9.2 9.1 8.8 8.5 8.2 7.9 7.6 7.4 7.2 Formarea bruta a capitalului 23.8 22.7 24.2 25.7 26.6 27.6 28.2 29.5 30.7 32.0 Formarea bruta de capital fix 21.8 23.1 24.6 26.3 27.5 28.8 30.0 31.2 32.3 33.5 Modificarea stocurilor 1.9 -0.4 -0.4 -0.6 -0.9 -1.2 -1.8 -1.7 -1.6 -1.6 Cererea interna 109.1 110.3 112.1 112.6 112.8 113.1 112.6 113.0 113.9 114.5 Export net -9.1 -10.3 -12.1 -12.6 -12.8 -13.1 -12.6 -13.0 -13.9 -14.5 Export de bunuri si servicii 35.9 32.9 32.4 32.1 31.9 32.5 32.8 33.4 34.2 35.1 Import de bunuri si servicii 44.9 43.3 44.5 44.8 44.8 45.6 45.4 46.3 48.1 49.6 PRODUSUL INTERN BRUT 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

Consum final 85.3 87.6 87.9 86.9 86.3 85.5 84.4 83.5 83.2 82.5 Cheltuielile cu consumul privat 69.1 69.4 69.9 69.6 69.4 69.2 68.7 68.4 68.5 68.5 Cheltuielile cu consumul guvernamental 16.1 18.2 18.0 17.4 16.9 16.3 15.7 15.0 14.6 14.0 Nota: Structura s-a calculat pe baza valorilor nominale


16

PRODUCIA INDUSTRIAL

- modificare procentual fa de anul anterior - 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Industrie - total din care:

5,3 2,0 7,1 4,7 5,1 5,3 5,5 5,5 5,4 5,4

a) extractiv din care:

2,4 -0,5 2,4 0,8 1,0 1,1 1,2 1,5 1,6 1,5

- crbune -3,4 -1,2 7,2 2,2 2,8 2,9 3,0 3,0 2,9 2,9 - petrol i gaze naturale 6,7 1,6 -2,1 0,6 0,4 0,2 0,0 0,0 -0,2 -0,5

b) prelucrtoare din care:

6,3 2,5 7,8 5,4 5,8 5,9 6,0 6,1 5,9 5,9

- industria alimentar i a buturilor -4,6 3,5 15,9 6,5 6,2 6,3 6,5 6,5 6,3 6,3 - industria textil i a produselor textile 3,5 -10,9 -13,1 -3,4 0,2 0,8 1,2 1,2 1,3 1,5 - industria confeciilor din textile, blnuri i piele -4,2 -15,9 -8,9 -1,8 0,0 1,0 1,8 1,8 2,0 2,0 - industria pielriei i nclmintei -3,2 -11,9 2,3 1,6 1,8 1,8 2,0 2,0 2,2 2,5 - industria de prelucrare a lemnului 42,0 22,5 8,2 6,3 6,6 6,8 7,0 7,0 6,8 6,8 - industria celulozei, hrtiei i cartonului -2,9 5,0 6,9 4,5 4,8 5,0 5,3 5,3 5,0 5,0 - industria de prelucrare a ieiului 6,2 13,4 -3,5 4,0 4,6 5,0 5,5 5,5 5,0 5,0 - industria substanelor i produselor chimice 34,4 3,1 14,0 5,6 5,7 6,0 6,2 6,2 6,0 5,6 - industria cauciucului i maselor plastice 9,9 -6,8 1,0 1,2 3,2 3,9 4,0 4,0 3,9 3,9 - industria produselor din minerale nemetalice (materiale de construcii) 16,8 -2,4 11,8 5,4 5,7 5,8 6,0 6,0 6,2 6,3 - industria metalurgic 13,5 2,0 1,0 3,7 4,4 4,7 5,0 5,0 4,7 4,7 - industria construciilor metalice i a produselor din metal -0,4 1,0 15,8 3,2 2,8 2,5 2,4 2,4 2,5 2,5 - industria de maini i echipamente 7,1 -1,2 -0,1 3,0 3,8 4,0 4,4 4,4 4,0 4,0 - industria de maini i aparate electrice 15,8 1,9 11,6 7,2 7,4 7,5 7,6 7,6 7,5 7,5 - industria de echipamente, aparate de radio, televiziune i comunicaii 13,6 -37,1 -5,7 2,0 3,6 4,8 5,0 5,0 4,8 4,8 - industria de aparatur medical, de precizie, optic i ceasornicrie -9,9 -11,4 -5,8 0,8 1,5 1,8 2,4 2,4 2,0 2,0 - industria mijloacelor de transport rutier 24,3 34,9 21,2 13,5 9,6 8,0 7,2 7,2 7,0 7,0 - industria altor mijloace de transport -6,1 1,7 16,3 5,0 5,2 5,5 5,6 5,6 5,5 5,5 - producia de mobilier -10,3 17,1 21,2 7,7 7,9 8,0 8,2 8,2 8,0 8,0

c) producia, transportul i distribuia de energie electric i termic -3,2 0,8 6,7 2,8 4,0 1,4 1,8 2,0 4,2 1,5


17

B A L A N A C O M E R C I A L

- mil euro -

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

E X P O R T FOB 18935 22255 25850 30250 35300 40900 46800 53200 59700 66600 cretere procentual fa de an precedent 21.3 17.5 16.2 17.0 16.7 15.9 14.4 13.7 12.2 11.6

I M P O R T CIF 26281 32569 40746 48700 57090 66090 74210 82340 90680 99130 cretere procentual fa de an precedent 24.0 23.9 25.1 19.5 17.2 15.7 12.3 10.9 10.1 9.3

I M P O R T FOB 24258 30061 37609 44950 52700 61000 68500 76000 83700 91500 cretere procentual fa de an precedent 24.0 23.9 25.1 19.5 17.2 15.7 12.3 10.9 10.1 9.3

SOLD BALAN COMERCIAL EXPORT FOB - IMPORT FOB -5323 -7806 -11759 -14700 -17400 -20100 -21700 -22800 -24000 -24900

% n PIB -8.8 -9.8 -12.1 -12.8 -13.0 -13.3 -12.9 -12.2 -11.7 -11.2 EXPORT FOB - IMPORT CIF -7346 -10314 -14896 -18450 -21790 -25190 -27410 -29140 -30980 -32530

% n PIB -12.1 -13.0 -15.3 -16.0 -16.3 -16.7 -16.3 -15.6 -15.1 -14.6


18

CONTUL CURENT AL BALANEI DE PLI

mil euro 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Contul curent -5099 -6883 -9973 -12150 -13600 -15200 -16300 -17100 -17900 -18700 Credit 25533 31681 38621 46200 53500 61500 68700 75900 83500 91300 Debit 30632 38564 48594 58350 67100 76700 85000 93000 101400 110000 Bunuri i servicii -5536 -8151 -11753 -14550 -17100 -19700 -21200 -22200 -23300 -24100 Credit 21838 26359 31363 36900 42500 48800 55100 61800 68500 75600

cretere procentual fa de an precedent 19.4 20.7 19.0 17.7 15.2 14.8 12.9 12.2 10.8 10.4 Debit 27374 34510 43116 51450 59600 68500 76300 84000 91800 99700

cretere procentual fa de an precedent 23.4 26.1 24.9 19.3 15.8 14.9 11.4 10.1 9.3 8.6 Bunuri -5323 -7806 -11759 -14700 -17400 -20100 -21700 -22800 -24000 -24900 Credit 18935 22255 25850 30250 35300 40900 46800 53200 59700 66600


cretere procentual fa de an precedent 24.0 23.9 25.1 19.5 17.2 15.7 12.3 10.9 10.1 9.3 Servicii -213 -344 6 150 300 400 500 600 700 800 Credit 2903 4104 5513 6650 7200 7900 8300 8600 8800 9000


cretere procentual fa de an precedent 19.4 42.7 23.8 18.0 6.2 8.7 4.0 2.6 1.3 1.2 Venituri -2535 -2325 -3014 -3100 -3200 -3300 -3400 -3500 -3600 -3700 Credit 329 1240 1776 2100 2400 2800 3000 3100 3200 3300 Debit 2864 3565 4790 5200 5600 6100 6400 6600 6800 7000 Transferuri curente 2972 3594 4794 5500 6700 7800 8300 8600 9000 9100 Credit 3366 4082 5482 7200 8600 9900 10600 11000 11800 12400 Debit 394 488 688 1700 1900 2100 2300 2400 2800 3300 IMPORT CIF 26281 32569 40746 48700 57090 66090 74210 82340 90680 99130 SOLD Exp.FOB-Imp.CIF -7346 -10314 -14896 -18450 -21790 40900 -27410 -29140 -30980 -32530 CONTUL CURENT / PIB % -8.4 -8.7 -10.3 -10.5 -10.2 -10.1 -9.7 -9.2 -8.7 -8.4


19

CONTUL DE CAPITAL I FINANCIAR

- mil.euro -

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Necesar de acoperit : -4215 -6486 -10516 -11750 -13150 -14700 -15750 -16500 -17250 -18000 - deficitul de cont curent -5099 -6883 -9973 -12150 -13600 -15200 -16300 -17100 -17900 -18700 - alte poziii( +/-) 884 397 -543 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 - completare rezerva valutara Contul de capital i financiar 4215 6486 10517 11750 13150 14700 15750 16500 17250 18000 din care: - Transferuri de capital 512 596 -36 750 1300 2300 2500 2700 2900 3100 - Investiii directe 5127 5237 9052 7600 7400 6600 5300 5400 5500 5600 - Investiii de portofoliu -416 779 50 200 500 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 - Alte investiii de capital 3830 5329 6692 8000 8500 9200 10000 10100 10200 10300 - Active de rezerv -4839 -5433 -5158 -4800 -4550 -4200 -3050 -2900 -2750 -2600 Datorie extern la fine de an 18297 24536.7 27718 33220 39020 45120 51620 58200 64860 71600 Pondere datorie/PIB 29.4 31.3 27.4 Transferuri de capital + Investitii directe + Investitii de portofoliu 5223 6612 9066 8550 9200 9700 8800 9300 9800 10300 - % din PIB 8.6 8.3 9.3 7.4 6.9 6.4 5.2 5.0 4.8 4.6 Gradul de acoperire al deficitului de cont curent prin: - Transferuri de capital + Investiii directe +Investiii de portofoliu 102.4 96.1 90.9 70.4 67.6 63.8 54.0 54.4 54.7 55.1 - Investiii directe 100.5 76.1 90.8 62.6 54.4 43.4 32.5 31.6 30.7 29.9 Rezerva valutar international oficial 11933 18256 21309.6 27440 31290 35960 40060 43400 47430 51510 - n luni de import 5.2 6.3 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.2


20

COMERUL EXTERIOR PE ZONE

- milioane euro -

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Export (FOB) 18935 22255 25850 30250 35300 40900 46800 53200 59700 66600 din care: Intra-EU 14170 15636 18331 21240 24250 27690 31540 35800 40120 44690 Extra-EU 4765 6619 7519 9010 11050 13210 15260 17400 19580 21910 Import (CIF) 26281 32569 40746 48700 57090 66090 74210 82340 90680 99130 din care: Intra-EU 17347 20568 25879 31120 36650 42560 47860 53520 59390 65430 Extra-EU 8934 12001 14867 17580 20440 23530 26350 28820 31289 33700 Sold (FOB/CIF) -7346 -10314 -14896 -18450 -21790 -25190 -27410 -29140 -30980 -32530 din care: Intra-EU -3177 -4931 -7548 -9880 -12400 -14870 -16320 -17720 -19270 -20740 Extra-EU -4169 -5383 -7348 -8570 -9390 -10320 -11090 -11420 -11710 -11790


21

COMERUL EXTERIOR PE ZONE

- modificare procentual fa de anul anterior -

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Export (FOB) 21.3 17.5 16.2 17.0 16.7 15.9 14.4 13.7 12.2 11.6 din care: Intra-EU 20.6 10.3 17.2 15.9 14.2 14.2 13.9 13.5 12.1 11.4 Extra-EU 23.4 38.9 13.6 19.8 22.6 19.5 15.5 14.0 12.5 11.9 Import (CIF) 24.0 23.9 25.1 19.5 17.2 15.7 12.3 10.9 10.1 9.3 din care: Intra-EU 20.0 18.6 25.8 20.3 17.8 16.1 12.5 11.8 11.0 10.2 Extra-EU 32.4 34.3 23.9 18.2 16.3 15.1 12.0 9.4 8.6 7.7 Sold (FOB/CIF) 31.5 40.4 44.4 23.9 18.1 15.6 8.8 6.3 6.3 5.0 din care: Intra-EU 17.7 55.2 53.1 30.9 25.5 19.9 9.8 8.6 8.7 7.6 Extra-EU 44.4 29.1 36.5 16.6 9.6 9.9 7.5 3.0 2.5 0.7


22

COMERUL EXTERIOR PE ZONE ponderi

- % -

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Export (FOB) 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 din care: Intra-EU 74.8 70.3 70.9 70.2 68.7 67.7 67.4 67.3 67.2 67.1 Extra-EU 25.2 29.7 29.1 29.8 31.3 32.3 32.6 32.7 32.8 32.9 Import (CIF) 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 din care: Intra-EU 66.0 63.2 63.5 63.9 64.2 64.4 64.5 65.0 65.5 66.0 Extra-EU 34.0 36.8 36.5 36.1 35.8 35.6 35.5 35.0 34.5 34.0 Sold (FOB/CIF) 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 din care: Intra-EU 43.2 47.8 50.7 53.5 56.9 59.0 59.5 60.8 62.2 63.8 Extra-EU 56.8 52.2 49.3 46.5 43.1 41.0 40.5 39.2 37.8 36.2


23

BALANTA FORTEI DE MUNCA CIVILE - date la sfarsitul anului -

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Populatia totala - mii pers. 21,658.5 21,610.2 21,570 21,500 21,440 21,380 21,310 21,230 21,150 21,070 - rata de crestere -% -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 Populatia activa- mii pers. 8,796.2 8,913.4 8,895.5 8,915 8,935 8,950 8,960 8,970 8,980 8,985 - rata de activitate - % 40.6 41.2 41.2 41.5 41.7 41.9 42.0 42.3 42.5 42.6 - rata de crestere -% -1.9 1.3 -0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Populatia ocupata - mii pers. 8,238.3 8,390.4 8,435 8,455 8,480 8,500 8,520 8,540 8,560 8,575 - rata de ocupare - % 38.0 38.8 39.1 39.3 39.6 39.8 40.0 40.2 40.5 40.7 - rata de crestere -% -0.8 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 Salariati - mii pers. 4,652.7 4,790.4 4,855 4,915 4,985 5,045 5,100 5150.0 5195.0 5235.0 - rata de crestere -% 0.0 3.0 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 Alte categorii de populatie ocupata - mii pers. 3,585.6 3,600.0 3,580 3,540 3,495 3,455 3,420 3,390 3,365 3,340 - rata de crestere -% -1.8 0.4 -0.6 -1.1 -1.3 -1.1 -1.0 -0.9 -0.7 -0.7 Someri inregistrati - mii pers. 557.9 523.0 460.5 460 455 450 440 430 420 410 - rata somajului - % 6.3 5.9 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.6


24

BALANTA FORTEI DE MUNCA CIVILE - date medii -

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Populatia totala la 1 iulie - mii pers. 21,673.3 21,623.8 21,584 21,520 21,470 21,410 21,350 21,286 21,201 21,115 - rata de crestere -% -0.3 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4 Populatia activa- mii pers. 8,696.1 8,693.0 8,669.7 8,685 8,700 8,710 8,720 8,730 8,735 8,740 - rata de activitate - % 40.1 40.2 40.2 40.4 40.5 40.7 40.8 41.0 41.2 41.4 - rata de crestere -% -3.2 0.0 -0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Populatia ocupata (medie) - mii pers. 8,087.7 8,152.5 8,185 8,210 8,235 8,255 8,275 8,290 8,305 8,320 - rata de ocupare -% 37.3 37.7 37.9 38.2 38.4 38.6 38.8 38.9 39.2 39.4 - rata de crestere -% -2.3 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 Salariati - mii pers. 4,468.8 4,558.9 4,615 4,700 4,780 4,855 4,915 4965 5015 5055 - rata de crestere -% -2.7 2.0 1.2 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.8 Alte categorii de populatie ocupata - mii pers. 3618.9 3593.6 3570 3510 3455 3400 3360 3325 3290 3265 - rata de crestere -% -1.8 -0.7 -0.7 -1.7 -1.6 -1.6 -1.2 -1.0 -1.1 -0.8 Someri inregistrati - mii pers. 608.4 540.5 484.7 475 465 455 445 440 430 420 - rata somajului - % 7.0 6.2 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.8


25

EVOLUTIA PRINCIPALILOR INDICATORI PRIVIND FORTA DE MUNCA - AMIGO

- mii persoane -

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Populatia totala 21,692 21,641 21,600 21,530 21,450 21,360 21,280 21,220 21,165 21,105 Populatia de 15 ani si peste 18,159 18,236 18,250 18,280 18,295 18,300 18,310 18,345 18,350 18,365 Populatia totala in varsta de munca (15-64 ani) 15,018 15,053 15,060 15,050 15,040 15,030 15,020 15,005 14,990 14,975 Populatia activa totala 9,957 9,851 10,175 10,310 10,430 10,510 10,560 10,590 10,610 10,630 Populatia activa in varsta de munca (15-64 ani) 9,488 9,387 9,720 9,865 10,000 10,100 10,155 10,200 10,230 10,260 Populatia inactiva in varsta de munca (15 - 64 ani) 5,530 5,666 5,340 5,185 5,040 4,930 4,865 4,805 4,760 4,715 Populatia ocupata totala 9,157 9,147 9,430 9,575 9,700 9,790 9,850 9,890 9,930 9,960

- Salariati 6,036 5,921 6,255 6,420 6,560 6,665 6,747 6,825 6,902 6,974 - Alte categorii de populatie ocupata 3,121 3,226 3,175 3,155 3,140 3,125 3,103 3,065 3,028 2,986

Populatia ocupata in varsta de munca (15-64 ani) 8,689 8,684 8,975 9,130 9,270 9,380 9,445 9,500 9,550 9,590 Someri BIM 800 704 745 735 730 720 710 700 680 670


26


- modificare procentuala fata de anul anterior - 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Populatia totala -0.3 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 Populatia de 15 ani si peste 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 Populatia totala in varsta de munca (15-64 ani) 0.1 0.2 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 Populatia activa totala 0.4 -1.1 3.3 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 Populatia activa in varsta de munca (15-64 ani) 1.4 -1.1 3.5 1.5 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 Populatia inactiva in varsta de munca (15 - 64 ani) -2.0 2.5 -5.7 -2.9 -2.8 -2.2 -1.3 -1.2 -0.9 -0.9 Populatia ocupata totala -0.7 -0.1 3.1 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3

- Salariati 4.8 -1.9 5.6 2.6 2.2 1.6 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 - Alte categorii de populatie ocupata -9.9 3.4 -1.6 -0.6 -0.5 -0.5 -0.7 -1.2 -1.2 -1.4

Populatia ocupata in varsta de munca (15-64 ani) 0.2 -0.1 3.3 1.7 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 Someri BIM 15.6 -12.0 5.8 -1.4 -0.7 -1.4 -1.4 -1.4 -2.9 -1.5


27


- % -

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rata de activitate a populatiei de 15 ani si peste 54.8 54.0 55.8 56.4 57.0 57.4 57.7 57.7 57.8 57.9 Rata de activitate a populatiei in varsta de munca (15-64ani) 63.2 62.4 64.5 65.5 66.5 67.2 67.6 68.0 68.2 68.5 Rata de ocupare a populatiei de 15 ani si peste 50.4 50.2 51.7 52.4 53.0 53.5 53.8 53.9 54.1 54.2 Rata de ocupare a populatiei in varsta de munca (15-64ani) 57.9 57.7 59.6 60.7 61.6 62.4 62.9 63.3 63.7 64.0 Rata somajului BIM 8.0 7.2 7.3 7.1 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.3


28

EVOLUTIA CASTIGULUI SALARIAL MEDIU PE TOTAL ECONOMIE

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Castigul salarial mediu brut lunar ( lei/salariat ) 664 818 968 1140 1330 1470 1610 1750 1900 2060 2230 - modificare procentuala fata de anul anterior 24.8 23.2 18.3 17.8 16.7 10.5 9.5 8.7 8.6 8.4 8.3 Castigul salarial mediu net lunar ( lei/salariat ) 484 599 746 855 990 1115 1230 1333 1444 1562 1687 - modificare procentuala fata de anul anterior 27.7 23.7 24.6 14.6 15.8 12.6 10.3 8.4 8.3 8.2 8.0 Ponderea castigului salarial mediu net in cel brut - % 72.9 73.2 77.1 75.0 74.4 75.9 76.4 76.2 76.0 75.8 75.7 Castigul salarial real - % 10.8 10.5 14.3 7.6 11.0 8.0 6.9 5.5 5.7 5.5 5.4


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EVOLUIA PREURILOR I A CURSULUI DE SCHIMB

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Creterea preurilor de consum (%)

Decembrie/Decembrie 8,6 4,87 4,3 3,5 3,0 2,5 2,5 2,5 2,5

Medie /Medie 9,0 6,56 4,3 4,3 3,2 2,7 2,5 2,5 2,5

Creterea preurilor produciei industriale (%)

Decembrie/Decembrie 9,5 11,56 8,0 6,5 5,5 4,5 4,0 3,5 3,0

Medie /Medie 10,5 11,57 9,2 7,5 6,5 5,5 5,0 4,5 4,0

Curs de schimb (lei/euro)

Medie anual 3,62 3,525 3,40 3,30 3,25 3,20 3,15 3,10 3,10

Curs de schimb (lei/dolar)

Medie anual 2,91 2,809 2,60 2,55 2,50 2,46 2,42 2,38 2,34

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