CURS 10_Eficienta Cheltuielilor Publice

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  • CURS 10 Eficienta cheltuielilor publice

  • Eficiena cheltuielilor publice: exprim dimensiunea optim a unui raport determinat ntre eforturile financiare (consumul de resurse financiare publice) i efectele comensurabile sau estimative ce se pot obine de pe urma obiectivelor finanate de ctre stat.

  • Eficacitatea reprezint o modalitate de a dimensiona calitatea activitilor ntreprinse. Din punct de vedere cantitativ, se determin ca raport ntre ceea ce s-a realizat i ntre ceea ce s-a propus (prognozat, previzionat) a se realiza.

  • Public Finances in EMU 2008, pg.76

  • Public Finances in EMU 2008, pg.79Public Finances in EMU 2008, pg.141

  • Condiii ale realizrii eficienei cheltuielilor publice:posibilitatea alegerii alternativei celei mai puin costisitoare, n raport cu rezultatul final al serviciului public;maximizarea utilitii consumatorilor prin mbuntirea calitii modului de funrizare a serviciului public.

  • Eficiena cheltuielilor publice este privit sub dou aspecte:eficiena alocativ a resurselor (optim Pareto);X-eficiena resurselor.O alocare a resurselor este corespunztoare optimului Pareto, dac nici o alta nu poate fi fcut mai bine, fr s influeneza negativ bunstarea ultimei persoane consumatoare.

  • Judeci de valoare pe baza crora se poate evalua semnificaia optimului Pareto:preocuparea pentru bunstarea tuturor indivizilor din societate, luai n mod separat, mai curnd dect a unei entiti, numit societate sau stat a unui grup social sau a unei clase sociale;

    unii factori neeconomici, care afecteaz bunstarea indivizilor, pot fi ignorai (sociali, psihologici, politici) separarea net ntre economie i politic;

    exist un consumator raional i suveranitatea productorului;

    dac o ultim schimbare n alocarea resurselor sporete bunstarea la o ultim persoan, fr s o reduc la o alt persoan, atunci schimbarea trebuie considerat ca avnd drept efect creterea bunstrii sociale respinge paternalismul.

  • Ipotezele care stau la baza alocrii resurselor conform optimului Pareto:existena pieei cu concuren perfect;informare perfect;toi indivizii s doreasc s-i maximizeze utilitatea;inexistena externalitilorcompetiia perfect ntre cumprtori i ntre vnztori;maximizarea profitului la toi productorii.

  • Orientri moderne privind eficiena cheltuielilor publice1)serviciile publice nu trebuie s fie furnizate ntotdeauna n mod gratuit2)oriunde este posibil, furnizarea public de servicii publice s fie nlocuit cu furnizarea privat 3)opiunea privind furnizarea serviciilor publice poate fi restabilit la mecanismele cvasipia prin utilizarea de cupoane sau bonuri valorice.

  • 0Qm reprezint nivelul optim al ieirilor care satisface condiia ca preul s fie egal cu costul marginal ( P=Cm);competiie perfect - toi consumatorii folosesc preul pieei 0Pm;dac bunul X este furnizat de autoritatea public ctre consumatorii liberi ai cererii, la preul consumului (costul produciei se afl n afara impozitrii), atunci:0Qs este nivelul dorit de consum determinat de furnizarea gratuit a statului;(Qm - Qs) reprezint utilitatea marginal a consumatorului;costul de furnizare a cantitii ntre QmQs este mai mic dect cel marginal: Cms Cm;QmAQS reprezint extrabeneficii;ABQS reprezint pierderi marginale (substituia aprovizionrii gratuite libere a statului cu preurile pieei);QmABQS reprezint extracosturi.

  • Gradul de x-ineficien este considerat diferena dintre eficacitatea maximal a utilizrii intrrilor i utilizarea actual.

    Observaie

    Preul pieei este preferabil achiziiei publice la preuri zero deoarece:spre deosebire de firmele competitive, serviciile publice nu au nc mecanisme ncorporate care s promoveze X-eficiena;n firma privat, X-eficiena este cuprins n politica managementului i a forei de munc de ctre proprietarii care i pot nsui orice economii la cost;n sectorul public, interesele consumatorilor sunt susceptibile s fie subminate printr-o alian a productorilor (manageri i lucrtori) care va substitui propriile ei eluri, eliberat de riscul falimentului;la ineficiena alocativ cauzat prin ndeprtarea de la nivelul optimal al outputurilor, trebuie adugat X-ineficiena care eman din orice combinaii din costurile de producie care sunt cu mult peste minimul atins de costurile altora.Eecul pieei desemneaz situaiile cnd funcionarea liber a pieelor conduce la o alocare ineficient a resurselor, genernd intervenia corectoare a statului.Externalitile reprezint forma de eec ale pieei care const n nereflectarea corespunztoare la nivelul preului pieei a unora dintre costurile sau beneficiile asociate produciei sau consumului.

  • EXTERNALITATILE Harvey Rosen (1992): o externalitate are loc atunci cnd activitatea unei entiti afecteaz bunstarea alteia ntr-un mod aflat n afara mecanismelor pieei.Cullis & Jones (1992): exist o externalitate atunci cnd bunstarea unui individ depinde nu numai de bunurile si serviciile pe care le cumpr i consum acesta, ci i de activitatea altui individ, existnd, astfel, o interdependen ce are loc n afara mecanismului preului.

  • Externalitati pozitive:producator-consumator (educatie publica)producator-producator (proprietar livada-apicultor)consumator-producator (dezvoltari ale capitalului uman)consumator-consumator (vizionarea programelor TV alaturi de prieteni) Externalitati negative:producator-consumator (poluarea mediului)producator-producator (poluarea apei)consumator-producator (culegerea afinelor)consumator-consumator (zgomotul aparatelor TV)

  • Analiza surplusului consumatorului i teorema Hicks Kaldor privind compensarea social a utilitilorSurplusul consumatorului este definit de suprafaa dat de modificarea preului de cumprare de la un nivel superior acceptat iniial de cumprtor la un nivel inferior ca urmare a scderii acestuia.

  • Surplusul productorului este definit de suprafaa dat de modificarea preului de cumprare de la un nivel inferior acceptat iniial de cumprtor la un nivel superior ca urmare a creterii acestuia.

  • Metode de evaluare a eforturilor i efectelor directe i indirecte ale proiectelor de obiective publice1.Analiza Cost Beneficiu (ACB);2.Analiza Cost Eficacitate (ACE);3.Metode multicriteriale (MM).

  • EXEMPLE:

    Sursa: Legea nr.36/1999 privind bugetul de stat pe anul 1999, Legea nr.76/2000 privind bugetul de stat pe anul 2000, Legea nr.216/2001 privind bugetul de stat pe anul 2001, Legea nr.743/2001 privind bugetul de stat pe anul 2002, Raport lunar B.N.R., aprilie 2003

    Anul1999200020012002IndicatoriCheltuieli ale bugetului de stat prevzute de legile bugetare (mld.lei)93384.4143755.3166832.1237832.1Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat executate (mld.lei)106886.7149167.8184012.2226823.6

    Chart1

    93384.4106886.7

    143755.3149167.8

    166832.1184012.2

    237832.1226823.6

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat prevzute de legile bugetare (mld.lei)

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat executate (mld.lei)

    Evolutia CBS prognozate si realizate in perioada 1998-2002

    tema3

    Anul1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002

    Indicatori

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat (mld.lei)210.20537.901627.004313.6010930.4015858.0023732.0052896.6077616.60106886.70149167.80184012.20226823.60

    P.I.B. (mld.lei)857.902203.906029.2020035.7049773.2072135.50108919.60252925.70371193.80539356.90796533.701154126.001498600.00

    Curs de schimb (lei/USD)22.4376.39307.95760.051655.092033.263082.607167.948874.8116295.5719955.7529060.8633055.46

    Populaie (mil.loc.)23.2023.1822.7822.7522.7322.6822.6022.5422.4822.4522.4322.4322.43

    Deflator P.I.B. (%)113.60295.10300.00327.40239.10135.30145.30247.30155.20147.80144.10137.00124.30

    Indicele preurilor (%)105.10270.20310.40236.70356.70132.30138.80254.80159.10145.80145.70134.50122.50

    P90 (%)1.002.708.3919.8570.8193.68130.03331.33527.14768.571119.811506.141845.03

    Anul1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002

    Indicatori

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat in expresie nominala (mld.lei)210.20537.901627.004313.6010930.4015858.0023732.0052896.6077616.60106886.70149167.80184012.20226823.60

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat in expresie reala (mld.lei)

    1)deflator PIB185.0182.3542.31317.54571.511720.616333.121389.650010.772318.5103516.9134315.5182480.8

    2)IP200.0199.1524.21822.43064.311986.417098.020760.048784.873310.5102380.1136812.0185162.1

    3)P90210.2199.1194.0217.3154.4169.3182.5159.7147.2139.1133.2122.2122.9

    Ponderea CBS in PIB (%)24.5024.4126.9921.5321.9621.9821.7920.9120.9119.8218.7315.9415.14

    CBS medii/loc (USD/loc)403.94303.77231.93249.47290.55343.88340.65327.40389.04292.17333.26282.30305.93

    Modificarea absoluta a CBS (mld.lei)

    1)expresie nominala327.71089.12686.66616.84927.67874.029164.624720.029270.142281.134844.442811.4

    2)expresie reala (defaltor PIB)-2.8360.1775.23253.97149.14612.55056.528621.022307.831198.430798.648165.3

    Modificarea relativa a CBS (%)

    1)expresie nominala155.9202.5165.1153.445.149.7122.946.737.739.623.423.3

    2)expresie reala (defaltor PIB)-1.5197.5142.9247.0156.439.431.0133.844.643.129.835.9

    Modificarea ponderii CBS in PIB (%)-0.12.6-5.50.40.0-0.2-0.9-0.0-1.1-1.1-2.8-0.8

    Modificarea CBS/loc. (USD/loc)-100.2-71.817.541.153.3-3.2-13.261.6-96.941.1-51.023.6

    Coeficientul de elasticitate a CBS1.01.20.71.01.01.00.91.00.80.80.50.8

    Modificarea relativa a PIB (%)156.9173.6232.3148.444.951.0132.246.845.347.744.929.8

    AnulCheltuielile bugetului de stat in preturi curenteCheltuielile bugetului de stat in expresie reala (deflator PIB)Cheltuielile bugetului de stat in expresie reala (indicele preturilor)Cheltuielile bugetului de stat in preturile constante, anul 1990Ponderea cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in P.I.B.Cheltuielile bugetului de stat medii pe cap de locuitor (USD/loc.)Curs de schimbPopulatiaModificarea relativa a cursului de schimb (%)Modificarea relativa a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat (%)Modificarea relativa a PIB (%)

    1990210.20185.00200.00200.0024.50403.9422.4323.2022.4522.4322.4322.43

    1991537.90182.30199.10199.1024.41303.7776.3923.18240.57155.90156.90

    19921627.00542.30524.20194.0026.99231.93307.9522.78303.13202.50173.60

    19934313.601317.5018222.40217.3021.53249.47760.0522.75146.81165.10232.30

    199410930.404571.503064.30154.4021.96290.551655.0922.73117.76153.40148.40

    199515858.0011720.6011986.40169.3021.98343.882033.2622.6822.8545.1044.90

    199623732.0016333.1017098.00182.5021.79340.653082.6022.6051.6149.7051.00

    199752896.6021389.6020760.00159.7020.91327.407167.9422.54132.53122.90132.20

    199877616.6050010.7048784.80147.2020.91389.048874.8122.4823.8146.7046.80

    1999106886.7072318.5073310.50139.1019.82292.1716295.5722.4583.6237.7045.30

    2000149167.80103516.90102380.10133.2018.73333.2619955.7522.4322.4639.6047.70

    2001184012.20134315.50136812.00122.2015.94282.3029060.8622.4345.6323.4044.90

    2002226823.60182480.80185162.10122.9015.14305.9333055.4622.4313.7523.3029.60

    anulcheltuieli bug.stat-totalinvatamantsanatatepensii si alocatiiaparare nationalaordine publicaautoritati publicecercetare stiintificaindustrieagriculturatransporturi si telecomunicatiitransferuri de la bugetul de statdobanzi aferente datoriei publicealte cheltuieli

    1991537.982.762.129.778.323.515.4498.235.832.441.40503.5034.40

    19921627224.215364.3195.768.351.110.2326.7179.862.6169.606.501512.00115.00

    19934313.6648.4366.2171.5419.6249.2151.820.5719.6613.1198.8328.20180.604067.50246.10

    199410930.41652.11003.3391.81184.7765.4440.749.41240.21278621.8784.00636.4010047.80882.60

    1995158582302.11323.6516.11525.91116.6658.33171529.61785.4853.21622.20949.1014499.101358.90

    1996237323709.92008.51258.72078.21611.7881.1440.92016.82667.81088.43041.801744.7022548.501183.50

    199752896.68010.44418.84197.14738.92803.21857.9762.51930.23664.61770.96862.109214.6050231.202665.40

    199877616.612268.13183.96815.76707.65205.12866.91049.72057.94539.83357.58396.9016611.5073060.604556.00

    1999106886.715742.73517.59069.98347.27535.64108.51019.52795.54974.67212.85237.6033347.00102908.403978.30

    2000149167.823250.73710.411242.11406013947.77683.11522.64213.69091.89769.72554.0043220.90144266.604901.20

    2001184012.213586.46774.723636.61757920017.111050.12591.15892.610680.114106.83806.5046427.00176148.007864.20

    2002226823.616843.79429.227012.72375925331.113579.62982.18684.611729.118485.63264.7053020.00214121.4012702.20

    anulinvatamantsanatatepensii si alocatiiaparare nationalaordine publicaautoritati publicecercetare stiintificaindustrieagriculturatransporturi si telecomunicatiitransferuri de la bugetul de statdobanzi aferente datoriei publicealte cheltuieli

    199115.3711.545.5214.564.372.860.7418.266.666.027.700.006.40100.00

    199213.789.403.9512.034.203.140.6320.0811.053.8510.420.407.07100.00

    199315.038.493.989.735.783.520.4816.6814.214.617.614.195.71100.00

    199415.119.183.5810.847.004.030.4511.3511.695.697.175.828.07100.00

    199514.528.353.259.627.044.152.009.6511.265.3810.235.988.57100.00

    199615.638.465.308.766.793.711.868.5011.244.5912.827.354.99100.00

    199715.148.357.938.965.303.511.443.656.933.3512.9717.425.04100.00

    199815.814.108.788.646.713.691.352.655.854.3310.8221.405.87100.00

    199914.733.298.497.817.053.840.952.624.656.754.9031.203.72100.00

    200015.592.497.549.439.355.151.022.826.106.551.7128.973.29100.00

    20017.383.6812.859.5510.886.011.413.205.807.672.0725.234.27100.00

    20027.434.1611.9110.4711.175.991.313.835.178.151.4423.375.60100.00

    1996199719981999200020012002

    Turcia

    Cheltuieli publice (mld.lire)3966.008617.0016762.0029467.0049134.0088403.00

    P.I.B. (mld.lire)14772.0028836.0052225.0077415.00124982.00178412.00

    Ritm ch.pub117.2794.5275.8066.7479.92

    Ritm PIB95.2181.1148.2361.4442.75

    e1.231.171.571.091.87

    Tailanda

    Cheltuieli publice (mil.baht)819083.00875714.00842581.00833042.00853067.00908613.00955270.00

    P.I.B.(mld.baht)4611.004732.604626.404632.104904.705100.70

    Ritm ch.pub6.91-3.78-1.132.406.51

    Ritm PIB2.64-2.240.125.894.00

    e2.621.69-9.190.411.63

    Polonia

    Cheltuieli publice (mil.zlot)153047.00185431.00207370.00216685.00236711.00

    P.I.B. (mil.zlot)387827.00472350.00553560.00615115.00684982.00722341.00

    Ritm ch.pub21.1611.834.499.24-100.00

    Ritm PIB21.7917.1911.1211.365.45

    e0.970.690.400.81-18.34

    1999200020012002

    CBS prevzute de legile bugetare (mld.lei)93384.40143755.30166832.10237832.10

    CBS executate (mld.lei)106886.70149167.80184012.20226823.60

    Grad de realizare a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat1.141.041.100.95

    Deficit bugetar (%)-2.50-3.60-3.30-2.90

    Coeficientul de elasticitate a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in raport cu P.I.B.0.800.800.500.80

    1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

    Rata colarizrii (%)

    nvmnt primar92.4093.8096.9099.7099.5099.1097.5099.80100.00100.00

    nvmnt gimnazial88.9086.1086.5084.3086.7086.4092.3094.3093.9094.70

    nvmnt liceal76.1065.7063.7066.1068.6069.1068.6067.8069.4071.70

    nvmnt superior12.5020.2022.7022.7020.9022.2022.7025.4028.0031.90

    Numr de elevi/studeni ce revin unui cadru didactic17.0016.0016.0015.0015.0015.0015.0015.0015.0015.00

    nvmnt primar20.0020.0020.0021.0020.0020.0019.0019.0019.0018.00

    nvmnt gimnazial14.0013.0012.0011.0011.0011.0012.0012.0013.0013.00

    nvmnt liceal19.0017.0016.0015.0015.0015.0014.0013.0013.0013.00

    nvmnt superior15.0019.0020.0019.0019.0016.0016.0017.0019.0021.00

    Cheltuieli publice pentru educaie (% P.I.B.)3.603.603.203.103.403.603.303.303.203.10

    Cheltuieli publice destinate nvmntului superior (% total cheltuieli publice pentru educaie)12.0012.5011.7014.0014.2017.8015.9019.0016.7010.80

    Populaia ocupat din sectorul public (%)

    nvmnt4.104.304.404.604.704.704.805.104.90

    corel(CPE/PIB,rata scolarizarii)

    nvmnt primar-0.65

    nvmnt gimnazial-0.35

    nvmnt liceal0.29

    nvmnt superior-0.72

    corel(CPE/PIB,nr.studenti)0.51

    nvmnt primar0.30

    nvmnt gimnazial0.17

    nvmnt liceal0.65

    nvmnt superior-0.63

    correl(CPE/CT,rata scoalrizarii)

    nvmnt primar0.47

    nvmnt gimnazial0.26

    nvmnt liceal-0.11

    nvmnt superior0.15

    corel(CPE/CT,nr.studenti)-0.55

    nvmnt primar-0.06

    nvmnt gimnazial-0.42

    nvmnt liceal-0.50

    nvmnt superior-0.48

    correl(CPE/PIB,salariati)-0.34

    correl(CPE/CT, salariati)0.46

    correl(salariati,rata scolarizarii)

    nvmnt primar0.77

    nvmnt gimnazial0.79

    nvmnt liceal0.81

    nvmnt superior0.74

    correl(salariati, nr.studenti)-0.77

    nvmnt primar-0.69

    nvmnt gimnazial0.19

    nvmnt liceal-0.93

    nvmnt superior-0.14

    1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

    Bulgaria

    Cheltuieli curente (mil.leva)31.4045.1079.40145.90230.60510.503347.403562.304352.004943.40

    Cheltuieli de capital (mil.leva)1.002.202.403.705.006.30155.30345.30501.00790.70

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat - total (mil.leva)32.4047.3081.80149.60235.60516.803502.703907.604851.005734.20

    %Cc Bulgaria96.9195.3597.0797.5397.8898.7895.5791.1689.7186.21

    %Ccap Bulgaria3.094.652.932.472.121.224.438.8410.3313.79

    Germania

    Cheltuieli curente (mld.mrci)279.95296.87301.88308.27317.08308.03309.17311.94478.07

    Cheltuieli de capital (mld.mrci)53.2657.5953.1044.6551.7849.4343.8349.1948.78

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat - total (mld.mrci)333.21354.46354.98352.92368.86357.46353.00361.13526.85

    %Cc Germania84.0283.7585.0487.3585.9686.1787.5886.3890.74

    %Ccap Germania15.9816.2514.9612.6514.0413.8312.4213.629.26

    Polonia

    Cheltuieli curente (mil.zloi)43451.0062062.0075374.0088875.0098366.0099635.00110216.00

    Cheltuieli de capital (mil.zloi)2688.003519.004751.006511.008253.005710.006672.00

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat - total (mil.zloi)46139.0065581.0080125.0095386.00106619.00105345.00116888.00

    %Cc Polonia94.1794.6394.0793.1792.2694.5894.29

    %Ccap Polonia5.835.375.936.837.745.425.71

    S.U.A.

    Cheltuieli curente (mld.dolari)603.89646.63681.40723.40745.61783.09821.23877.13

    Cheltuieli de capital (mld.dolari)51.4451.3555.1260.5562.0863.6468.7174.44

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat - total (mld.dolari)655.33697.98736.52783.59807.69846.43889.94951.57

    %Cc SUA92.1592.6492.5292.3292.3192.5292.2892.18

    %Ccap SUA7.857.367.487.737.697.527.727.82

    Romnia *)

    Cheltuieli curente (mld.lei)77868.8084633.30130144.60

    Cheltuieli de capital (mld.lei)5047.803497.934406.80

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat - total (mld.lei)88443.7093384.40143755.30

    %Cc Romania88.0490.6390.53

    %Ccap Romania5.713.753.07

    tema3

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    Cheltuielile bugetului de stat in preturi curente

    Cheltuielile bugetului de stat in expresie reala (deflator PIB)

    Cheltuielile bugetului de stat in expresie reala (indicele preturilor)

    Anul

    Cheltuielile bugetului de stat (mld.lei)

    Grafic nr.1Evolutia comparativa a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in expresie nominala si reala in perioada 1990-2002

    tema4

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    Ponderea cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in P.I.B.

    Anul

    Ponderea cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in P.I.B. (%)

    Grafic nr.3Evolutia ponderii cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in P.I.B. in perioada 1990-2002

    temax

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    Cheltuielile bugetului de stat medii pe cap de locuitor (USD/loc.)

    Modificarea relativa a cursului de schimb (%)

    Anul

    Grafic nr.4Evolutia cheltuielilor bugetului de stat medii pe cap de locuitor comparativ cu modificarea relativa a cursului de schimb in perioada 1990-2002

    Sheet6

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    Modificarea relativa a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat (%)

    Modificarea relativa a PIB (%)

    Anul

    Grafic nr.5Modificarea relativa a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat si a P.I.B. in perioada 1990-2002

    Sheet5

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    Cheltuielile bugetului de stat in preturi curente

    Cheltuielile bugetului de stat in preturile constante, anul 1990

    Anul

    Cheltuielile bugetului de stat (mld.lei)

    Grafic nr.2Evolutia cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in preturi curente si in preturi constante

    Sheet2

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    Grafic nr.6Structura cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in anul 1992

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    Grafic nr.7Structura cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in anul 1996

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    Grafic nr.8Structura cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in anul 2000

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    Grafic nr.9Structura cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in anul 2002

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    Ritm ch.pub

    Ritm PIB

    Anul

    Modificarea relativa a cheltuielilor publice si a P.I.B.in Turcia in perioada 1996-2001

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    Ritm ch.pub

    Ritm PIB

    Modificarea relativa a cheltuielilor publice si a P.I.B. in Tailanda in perioada 1996-2001

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    Ritm ch.pub

    Ritm PIB

    Modificarea reltaiva a cheltuielilor publice si a P.I.B. in Polonia in perioada 1996-2001

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Grad de realizare a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat

    Deficit bugetar (%)

    Coeficientul de elasticitate a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in raport cu P.I.B.

    Grafic nr.10Evolutia comparativa a gradului de realizare a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat, a deficitului bugetar si a coeficientului de elasticitate a cheltuielilor in perioada 1999-2002

    00000

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    nvmnt primar

    nvmnt primar

    Cheltuieli publice pentru educaie (% P.I.B.)

    Cheltuieli publice destinate nvmntului superior (% total cheltuieli publice pentru educaie)

    nvmnt

    00000

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    %Cc Bulgaria

    %Cc Germania

    %Cc Polonia

    %Cc SUA

    %Cc Romania

    Anul

    Evolutia comparativa a ponderii cheltuielilor curente in total cheltuieli

    Anul19981999200020012002

    Indicatori

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat prevzute de legile bugetare (mld.lei)93384.40143755.30166832.10237832.10

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat executate (mld.lei)106886.70149167.80184012.20226823.60

    Eficacitate (%)114.46103.77110.3095.37

    P.I.B. (mld.lei)371193.80539356.90796533.701154126.001498600.00

    Dinamica PIB (%)45.3047.6844.8929.85

    Dinamica CBS realizate39.5623.3623.27

    Anul1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

    Indicator

    Cheltuieli publice pentru ordine public (% P.I.B.)2.702.703.604.604.404.403.304.203.705.40

    Numr total deinui60883.0069143.0083247.0095795.00101705.00104029.00111926.00106221.0087576.0075407.00

    Cazuri de furt i tlhrie la 10000 de locuitori123.00158.00175.00211.00227.00230.00234.00210.00164.00134.00

    Dinamica nr.detinuti (%)13.5720.4015.076.172.297.59-5.10-17.55-13.90

    Dinamica cazurilor de furt si talharie (%)28.4610.7620.577.581.321.74-10.26-21.90-18.29

    Cheltuieli publice pentru ordine public (% P.I.B.)

    Dinamica nr.detinuti (%)

    Dinamica cazurilor de furt si talharie (%)

    Anul

    Grafic nr.4.6.1Dinamica numarului de detinuti si cazuri de talharie vs.ponderea cheltuielilor pentru ordine publica in PIB

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat prevzute de legile bugetare (mld.lei)

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat executate (mld.lei)

    Evolutia CBS prognozate si realizate in perioada 1998-2002

    anulPIB (mld.lei)Deficit bugetar (%)invatamantsanatatepensii si alocatiiaparare nationalaordine publicaautoritati publicecercetare stiintificaindustrieagriculturatransporturi si telecomunicatiitransferuri de la bugetul de statdobanzi aferente datoriei publice

    19912203.9-1.982.762.129.778.323.515.4498.235.832.441.40

    19926029.2-4.4224.215364.3195.768.351.110.2326.7179.862.6169.606.50

    199320035.7-2.6648.4366.2171.5419.6249.2151.820.5719.6613.1198.8328.20180.60

    199449773.2-4.21652.11003.3391.81184.7765.4440.749.41240.21278621.8784.00636.40

    199572135.5-4.12302.11323.6516.11525.91116.6658.33171529.61785.4853.21622.20949.10

    1996108919.6-4.93709.92008.51258.72078.21611.7881.1440.92016.82667.81088.43041.801744.70

    1997252925.7-3.68010.44418.84197.14738.92803.21857.9762.51930.23664.61770.96862.109214.60

    1998371193.8-2.812268.13183.96815.76707.65205.12866.91049.72057.94539.83357.58396.9016611.50

    1999539356.9-2.515742.73517.59069.98347.27535.64108.51019.52795.54974.67212.85237.6033347.00

    2000796533.7-3.623250.73710.411242.11406013947.77683.11522.64213.69091.89769.72554.0043220.90

    20011154126-3.113586.46774.723636.61757920017.111050.12591.15892.610680.114106.83806.5046427.00

    20021498600-2.9216843.79429.227012.72375925331.113579.62982.18684.611729.118485.63264.7053020.00

    anulinvatamantsanatatepensii si alocatiiaparare nationalaordine publicaautoritati publicecercetare stiintificaindustrieagriculturatransporturi si telecomunicatiitransferuri de la bugetul de statdobanzi aferente datoriei publicedeficit

    19913.752.821.353.551.070.700.184.461.621.471.880.001.9

    19923.722.541.073.251.130.850.175.422.981.042.810.114.4

    19933.241.830.862.091.240.760.103.593.060.991.640.902.6

    19943.322.020.792.381.540.890.102.492.571.251.581.284.2

    19953.191.830.722.121.550.910.442.122.481.182.251.324.1

    19963.411.841.161.911.480.810.401.852.451.002.791.604.9

    19973.171.751.661.871.110.730.300.761.450.702.713.643.6

    19983.310.861.841.811.400.770.280.551.220.902.264.482.8

    19992.920.651.681.551.400.760.190.520.921.340.976.182.5

    20002.920.471.411.771.750.960.190.531.141.230.325.433.6

    20011.180.592.051.521.730.960.220.510.931.220.334.023.1

    20021.120.631.801.591.690.910.200.580.781.230.223.542.92

    corel deficit0.20261739740.2048811517-0.4542617147-0.0152428890.19562635590.41746084360.42368639640.08796306260.4992759923-0.36290747140.4314779499-0.247456523

    BulgariaTurciaRomaniaPoloniaGermania

    anulDeficitPIBCurs de schimbDeficitPIBCurs de schimbDeficitPIBCurs de schimbDeficitPIBCurs de schimbDeficitPIBCurs de schimb

    1996-332.817610.1779-12381477281405-4.91089203084.2-78263878272.6961-3.41.5048

    1997353.3174331.6819-244428836151865-3.62529267167.9-83044723503.2793-2.71.7341

    1998599.2224211.7604-438752225260724-2.83737988875.6-53825535603.47542.21.7597

    1999348.7237901.8364-1007677415418783-2.554573015332.8-47946151153.9671-1.60.9386

    2000154.9267532.1233-14263124982625219-3.680030821708.720896849824.3461-1.21.0854

    2001556.2296182.1847-349631784121225588-3.1115412629060.87223414.0939-2.71.1175

    20022.0771507226-2.9233055.44.081.0626

    BulgariaTurciaRomaniaPoloniaGermaniaS.U.A.

    anulDeficit (%)Curs de schimbDeficit (%)Curs de schimbDeficit (%)Curs de schimbDeficit (%)Curs de schimbDeficit (%)Curs de schimbDeficit (%)Curs de schimb

    1996-18.900.10-8.380.19-4.900.20-2.020.68-3.400.68-1.421.05

    19972.030.92-8.480.36-3.600.47-1.760.83-2.700.83-0.031.14

    19982.670.96-8.400.62-2.800.58-0.970.882.200.880.621.18

    19991.471.00-13.021.00-2.501.00-0.781.00-1.601.001.691.16

    20000.581.16-11.411.49-3.601.420.301.10-1.201.100.921.21

    20011.881.19-19.602.93-3.101.900.001.03-2.701.031.29

    2002

    Anul199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001

    Cheltuieli bugetare (% PIB)24.524.426.921.521.921.921.720.920.719.518.615

    Rata omajului (%)38.210.410.99.56.68.910.411.810.58.6

    Rata inflaiei (%)5.1170.2210.4256.1136.732.338.8154.859.145.845.734.5

    Deficit bugetar (%)0.41.94.42.64.24.14.93.62.82.53.63.1

    Anul1997199819992000

    Datoria extern (%)24.322.224.826.8

    Datoria public intern (%)67.312.79.3

    Costul datoriei publice interne (%)2.93.54.54

    Cheltuielile bugetare anuale (%)13.416.32220.4

    Deficit buget de stat (%)3.62.82.53.6

    Anul199619971998199920002001

    Bulgaria

    Rata dobanzii pe piata monetara (%)119.8866.432.482.933.023.74

    Randamentul bonurilor de tezaur (%)114.3178.356.025.434.214.57

    Deficit bugetar (%)-18.902.032.671.470.581.88

    Investitii (mil.leva)238.001914.002920.003600.004206.005259.00

    Investitii (1996=100)100.00804.20152.56123.29116.83125.04

    Polonia

    Rata dobanzii pe piata monetara (%)20.6022.4020.6013.6018.2016.20

    Randamentul bonurilor de tezaur (%)20.3021.6019.1013.1016.60

    Deficit bugetar (%)-2.02-1.76-0.97-0.780.300.00

    Investitii (mil.zloti)80390.00110853.00139205.00156690.00170430.00155563.00

    Investitii (1996=100)100.00137.89125.58112.56108.7791.28

    Romania

    Rata dobanzii pe piata monetara (%)35.1045.0037.9035.0035.0035.00

    Randamentul bonurilor de tezaur (%)51.1085.7064.0074.2051.9042.20

    Deficit bugetar (%)-4.90-3.60-2.80-2.50-3.60-3.10

    Investitii (mld.lei)24999.0053540.0067920.0096630.00151486.00219289.00

    Investitii (1996=100)100214.17126.86142.27156.77144.76

    Datoria extern (%)24.322.224.826.8

    Datoria public intern (%)67.312.79.3

    politici14.2857142857

    demografici14.2857142857

    economici14.2857142857

    sociali14.2857142857

    urbanizarea14.2857142857

    militari14.2857142857

    istorici14.2857142857

    0

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    0

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    0

    Curs de schimb

    Deficit bugetar (%)

    Curs de schimb (1999=1)

    Grafic nr. 6.2Turcia

    0

    0

    0

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    0

    Curs de schimb

    Deficit bugetar (%)

    Curs de schimb (1999=1)

    Grafic nr. 6.3Romania

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Curs de schimb

    Deficit bugetar (%)

    Curs de schimb (1999=1)

    Grafic nr. 6.4Polonia

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Curs de schimb

    Deficit bugetar (%)

    Curs de schimb (1999=1)

    Grafic nr. 6.5Germania

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Curs de schimb

    Deficit bugetar (%)

    Curs de schimb (1999=1)

    Grafic nr. 6.1Bulgaria

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Curs de schimb

    Deficit bugetar (%)

    Curs de schimb (1995=1)

    Grafic nr. 6.6S.U.A.

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    Datoria extern (%)

    Datoria public intern (%)

    Costul datoriei publice interne (%)

    Cheltuielile bugetare anuale (%)

    Deficit buget de stat (%)

    Anul

    Grafic nr. 6.1

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    Rata dobanzii pe piata monetara (%)

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    Investitii (1996=100)

    Anul

    Grafic nr. 5.2Bulgaria

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    Anul

    Grafic nr. 5.3Polonia

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    Anul

    Grafic nr. 5.4 Romania

  • EXEMPLE:

    Sursa: National Human Development Report Romania 2001-2002

    Anul1991199219931994199519961997199819992000IndicatorCheltuieli publice pentru ordine public (% P.I.B.)2.72.73.64.64.44.43.34.23.75.4Numr total deinui608836914383247957951017051040291119261062218757675407Cazuri de furt i tlhrie la 10000 de locuitori123 158175211227230234210164134

    Chart1

    60883123

    69143158

    83247175

    95795211

    101705227

    104029230

    111926234

    106221210

    87576164

    75407134

    Numr total deinui

    Cazuri de furt i tlhrie la 10000 de locuitori

    tema3

    Anul1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002

    Indicatori

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat (mld.lei)210.20537.901627.004313.6010930.4015858.0023732.0052896.6077616.60106886.70149167.80184012.20226823.60

    P.I.B. (mld.lei)857.902203.906029.2020035.7049773.2072135.50108919.60252925.70371193.80539356.90796533.701154126.001498600.00

    Curs de schimb (lei/USD)22.4376.39307.95760.051655.092033.263082.607167.948874.8116295.5719955.7529060.8633055.46

    Populaie (mil.loc.)23.2023.1822.7822.7522.7322.6822.6022.5422.4822.4522.4322.4322.43

    Deflator P.I.B. (%)113.60295.10300.00327.40239.10135.30145.30247.30155.20147.80144.10137.00124.30

    Indicele preurilor (%)105.10270.20310.40236.70356.70132.30138.80254.80159.10145.80145.70134.50122.50

    P90 (%)1.002.708.3919.8570.8193.68130.03331.33527.14768.571119.811506.141845.03

    Anul1990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002

    Indicatori

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat in expresie nominala (mld.lei)210.20537.901627.004313.6010930.4015858.0023732.0052896.6077616.60106886.70149167.80184012.20226823.60

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat in expresie reala (mld.lei)

    1)deflator PIB185.0182.3542.31317.54571.511720.616333.121389.650010.772318.5103516.9134315.5182480.8

    2)IP200.0199.1524.21822.43064.311986.417098.020760.048784.873310.5102380.1136812.0185162.1

    3)P90210.2199.1194.0217.3154.4169.3182.5159.7147.2139.1133.2122.2122.9

    Ponderea CBS in PIB (%)24.5024.4126.9921.5321.9621.9821.7920.9120.9119.8218.7315.9415.14

    CBS medii/loc (USD/loc)403.94303.77231.93249.47290.55343.88340.65327.40389.04292.17333.26282.30305.93

    Modificarea absoluta a CBS (mld.lei)

    1)expresie nominala327.71089.12686.66616.84927.67874.029164.624720.029270.142281.134844.442811.4

    2)expresie reala (defaltor PIB)-2.8360.1775.23253.97149.14612.55056.528621.022307.831198.430798.648165.3

    Modificarea relativa a CBS (%)

    1)expresie nominala155.9202.5165.1153.445.149.7122.946.737.739.623.423.3

    2)expresie reala (defaltor PIB)-1.5197.5142.9247.0156.439.431.0133.844.643.129.835.9

    Modificarea ponderii CBS in PIB (%)-0.12.6-5.50.40.0-0.2-0.9-0.0-1.1-1.1-2.8-0.8

    Modificarea CBS/loc. (USD/loc)-100.2-71.817.541.153.3-3.2-13.261.6-96.941.1-51.023.6

    Coeficientul de elasticitate a CBS1.01.20.71.01.01.00.91.00.80.80.50.8

    Modificarea relativa a PIB (%)156.9173.6232.3148.444.951.0132.246.845.347.744.929.8

    AnulCheltuielile bugetului de stat in preturi curenteCheltuielile bugetului de stat in expresie reala (deflator PIB)Cheltuielile bugetului de stat in expresie reala (indicele preturilor)Cheltuielile bugetului de stat in preturile constante, anul 1990Ponderea cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in P.I.B.Cheltuielile bugetului de stat medii pe cap de locuitor (USD/loc.)Curs de schimbPopulatiaModificarea relativa a cursului de schimb (%)Modificarea relativa a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat (%)Modificarea relativa a PIB (%)

    1990210.20185.00200.00200.0024.50403.9422.4323.2022.4522.4322.4322.43

    1991537.90182.30199.10199.1024.41303.7776.3923.18240.57155.90156.90

    19921627.00542.30524.20194.0026.99231.93307.9522.78303.13202.50173.60

    19934313.601317.5018222.40217.3021.53249.47760.0522.75146.81165.10232.30

    199410930.404571.503064.30154.4021.96290.551655.0922.73117.76153.40148.40

    199515858.0011720.6011986.40169.3021.98343.882033.2622.6822.8545.1044.90

    199623732.0016333.1017098.00182.5021.79340.653082.6022.6051.6149.7051.00

    199752896.6021389.6020760.00159.7020.91327.407167.9422.54132.53122.90132.20

    199877616.6050010.7048784.80147.2020.91389.048874.8122.4823.8146.7046.80

    1999106886.7072318.5073310.50139.1019.82292.1716295.5722.4583.6237.7045.30

    2000149167.80103516.90102380.10133.2018.73333.2619955.7522.4322.4639.6047.70

    2001184012.20134315.50136812.00122.2015.94282.3029060.8622.4345.6323.4044.90

    2002226823.60182480.80185162.10122.9015.14305.9333055.4622.4313.7523.3029.60

    anulcheltuieli bug.stat-totalinvatamantsanatatepensii si alocatiiaparare nationalaordine publicaautoritati publicecercetare stiintificaindustrieagriculturatransporturi si telecomunicatiitransferuri de la bugetul de statdobanzi aferente datoriei publicealte cheltuieli

    1991537.982.762.129.778.323.515.4498.235.832.441.40503.5034.40

    19921627224.215364.3195.768.351.110.2326.7179.862.6169.606.501512.00115.00

    19934313.6648.4366.2171.5419.6249.2151.820.5719.6613.1198.8328.20180.604067.50246.10

    199410930.41652.11003.3391.81184.7765.4440.749.41240.21278621.8784.00636.4010047.80882.60

    1995158582302.11323.6516.11525.91116.6658.33171529.61785.4853.21622.20949.1014499.101358.90

    1996237323709.92008.51258.72078.21611.7881.1440.92016.82667.81088.43041.801744.7022548.501183.50

    199752896.68010.44418.84197.14738.92803.21857.9762.51930.23664.61770.96862.109214.6050231.202665.40

    199877616.612268.13183.96815.76707.65205.12866.91049.72057.94539.83357.58396.9016611.5073060.604556.00

    1999106886.715742.73517.59069.98347.27535.64108.51019.52795.54974.67212.85237.6033347.00102908.403978.30

    2000149167.823250.73710.411242.11406013947.77683.11522.64213.69091.89769.72554.0043220.90144266.604901.20

    2001184012.213586.46774.723636.61757920017.111050.12591.15892.610680.114106.83806.5046427.00176148.007864.20

    2002226823.616843.79429.227012.72375925331.113579.62982.18684.611729.118485.63264.7053020.00214121.4012702.20

    anulinvatamantsanatatepensii si alocatiiaparare nationalaordine publicaautoritati publicecercetare stiintificaindustrieagriculturatransporturi si telecomunicatiitransferuri de la bugetul de statdobanzi aferente datoriei publicealte cheltuieli

    199115.3711.545.5214.564.372.860.7418.266.666.027.700.006.40100.00

    199213.789.403.9512.034.203.140.6320.0811.053.8510.420.407.07100.00

    199315.038.493.989.735.783.520.4816.6814.214.617.614.195.71100.00

    199415.119.183.5810.847.004.030.4511.3511.695.697.175.828.07100.00

    199514.528.353.259.627.044.152.009.6511.265.3810.235.988.57100.00

    199615.638.465.308.766.793.711.868.5011.244.5912.827.354.99100.00

    199715.148.357.938.965.303.511.443.656.933.3512.9717.425.04100.00

    199815.814.108.788.646.713.691.352.655.854.3310.8221.405.87100.00

    199914.733.298.497.817.053.840.952.624.656.754.9031.203.72100.00

    200015.592.497.549.439.355.151.022.826.106.551.7128.973.29100.00

    20017.383.6812.859.5510.886.011.413.205.807.672.0725.234.27100.00

    20027.434.1611.9110.4711.175.991.313.835.178.151.4423.375.60100.00

    1996199719981999200020012002

    Turcia

    Cheltuieli publice (mld.lire)3966.008617.0016762.0029467.0049134.0088403.00

    P.I.B. (mld.lire)14772.0028836.0052225.0077415.00124982.00178412.00

    Ritm ch.pub117.2794.5275.8066.7479.92

    Ritm PIB95.2181.1148.2361.4442.75

    e1.231.171.571.091.87

    Tailanda

    Cheltuieli publice (mil.baht)819083.00875714.00842581.00833042.00853067.00908613.00955270.00

    P.I.B.(mld.baht)4611.004732.604626.404632.104904.705100.70

    Ritm ch.pub6.91-3.78-1.132.406.51

    Ritm PIB2.64-2.240.125.894.00

    e2.621.69-9.190.411.63

    Polonia

    Cheltuieli publice (mil.zlot)153047.00185431.00207370.00216685.00236711.00

    P.I.B. (mil.zlot)387827.00472350.00553560.00615115.00684982.00722341.00

    Ritm ch.pub21.1611.834.499.24-100.00

    Ritm PIB21.7917.1911.1211.365.45

    e0.970.690.400.81-18.34

    1999200020012002

    CBS prevzute de legile bugetare (mld.lei)93384.40143755.30166832.10237832.10

    CBS executate (mld.lei)106886.70149167.80184012.20226823.60

    Grad de realizare a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat1.141.041.100.95

    Deficit bugetar (%)-2.50-3.60-3.30-2.90

    Coeficientul de elasticitate a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in raport cu P.I.B.0.800.800.500.80

    1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

    Rata colarizrii (%)

    nvmnt primar92.4093.8096.9099.7099.5099.1097.5099.80100.00100.00

    nvmnt gimnazial88.9086.1086.5084.3086.7086.4092.3094.3093.9094.70

    nvmnt liceal76.1065.7063.7066.1068.6069.1068.6067.8069.4071.70

    nvmnt superior12.5020.2022.7022.7020.9022.2022.7025.4028.0031.90

    Numr de elevi/studeni ce revin unui cadru didactic17.0016.0016.0015.0015.0015.0015.0015.0015.0015.00

    nvmnt primar20.0020.0020.0021.0020.0020.0019.0019.0019.0018.00

    nvmnt gimnazial14.0013.0012.0011.0011.0011.0012.0012.0013.0013.00

    nvmnt liceal19.0017.0016.0015.0015.0015.0014.0013.0013.0013.00

    nvmnt superior15.0019.0020.0019.0019.0016.0016.0017.0019.0021.00

    Cheltuieli publice pentru educaie (% P.I.B.)3.603.603.203.103.403.603.303.303.203.10

    Cheltuieli publice destinate nvmntului superior (% total cheltuieli publice pentru educaie)12.0012.5011.7014.0014.2017.8015.9019.0016.7010.80

    Populaia ocupat din sectorul public (%)

    nvmnt4.104.304.404.604.704.704.805.104.90

    corel(CPE/PIB,rata scolarizarii)

    nvmnt primar-0.65

    nvmnt gimnazial-0.35

    nvmnt liceal0.29

    nvmnt superior-0.72

    corel(CPE/PIB,nr.studenti)0.51

    nvmnt primar0.30

    nvmnt gimnazial0.17

    nvmnt liceal0.65

    nvmnt superior-0.63

    correl(CPE/CT,rata scoalrizarii)

    nvmnt primar0.47

    nvmnt gimnazial0.26

    nvmnt liceal-0.11

    nvmnt superior0.15

    corel(CPE/CT,nr.studenti)-0.55

    nvmnt primar-0.06

    nvmnt gimnazial-0.42

    nvmnt liceal-0.50

    nvmnt superior-0.48

    correl(CPE/PIB,salariati)-0.34

    correl(CPE/CT, salariati)0.46

    correl(salariati,rata scolarizarii)

    nvmnt primar0.77

    nvmnt gimnazial0.79

    nvmnt liceal0.81

    nvmnt superior0.74

    correl(salariati, nr.studenti)-0.77

    nvmnt primar-0.69

    nvmnt gimnazial0.19

    nvmnt liceal-0.93

    nvmnt superior-0.14

    1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

    Bulgaria

    Cheltuieli curente (mil.leva)31.4045.1079.40145.90230.60510.503347.403562.304352.004943.40

    Cheltuieli de capital (mil.leva)1.002.202.403.705.006.30155.30345.30501.00790.70

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat - total (mil.leva)32.4047.3081.80149.60235.60516.803502.703907.604851.005734.20

    %Cc Bulgaria96.9195.3597.0797.5397.8898.7895.5791.1689.7186.21

    %Ccap Bulgaria3.094.652.932.472.121.224.438.8410.3313.79

    Germania

    Cheltuieli curente (mld.mrci)279.95296.87301.88308.27317.08308.03309.17311.94478.07

    Cheltuieli de capital (mld.mrci)53.2657.5953.1044.6551.7849.4343.8349.1948.78

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat - total (mld.mrci)333.21354.46354.98352.92368.86357.46353.00361.13526.85

    %Cc Germania84.0283.7585.0487.3585.9686.1787.5886.3890.74

    %Ccap Germania15.9816.2514.9612.6514.0413.8312.4213.629.26

    Polonia

    Cheltuieli curente (mil.zloi)43451.0062062.0075374.0088875.0098366.0099635.00110216.00

    Cheltuieli de capital (mil.zloi)2688.003519.004751.006511.008253.005710.006672.00

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat - total (mil.zloi)46139.0065581.0080125.0095386.00106619.00105345.00116888.00

    %Cc Polonia94.1794.6394.0793.1792.2694.5894.29

    %Ccap Polonia5.835.375.936.837.745.425.71

    S.U.A.

    Cheltuieli curente (mld.dolari)603.89646.63681.40723.40745.61783.09821.23877.13

    Cheltuieli de capital (mld.dolari)51.4451.3555.1260.5562.0863.6468.7174.44

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat - total (mld.dolari)655.33697.98736.52783.59807.69846.43889.94951.57

    %Cc SUA92.1592.6492.5292.3292.3192.5292.2892.18

    %Ccap SUA7.857.367.487.737.697.527.727.82

    Romnia *)

    Cheltuieli curente (mld.lei)77868.8084633.30130144.60

    Cheltuieli de capital (mld.lei)5047.803497.934406.80

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat - total (mld.lei)88443.7093384.40143755.30

    %Cc Romania88.0490.6390.53

    %Ccap Romania5.713.753.07

    tema3

    000

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    Cheltuielile bugetului de stat in preturi curente

    Cheltuielile bugetului de stat in expresie reala (deflator PIB)

    Cheltuielile bugetului de stat in expresie reala (indicele preturilor)

    Anul

    Cheltuielile bugetului de stat (mld.lei)

    Grafic nr.1Evolutia comparativa a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in expresie nominala si reala in perioada 1990-2002

    tema4

    0

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    Ponderea cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in P.I.B.

    Anul

    Ponderea cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in P.I.B. (%)

    Grafic nr.3Evolutia ponderii cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in P.I.B. in perioada 1990-2002

    temax

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    Cheltuielile bugetului de stat medii pe cap de locuitor (USD/loc.)

    Modificarea relativa a cursului de schimb (%)

    Anul

    Grafic nr.4Evolutia cheltuielilor bugetului de stat medii pe cap de locuitor comparativ cu modificarea relativa a cursului de schimb in perioada 1990-2002

    Sheet6

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    Modificarea relativa a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat (%)

    Modificarea relativa a PIB (%)

    Anul

    Grafic nr.5Modificarea relativa a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat si a P.I.B. in perioada 1990-2002

    Sheet5

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    &A

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    Cheltuielile bugetului de stat in preturi curente

    Cheltuielile bugetului de stat in preturile constante, anul 1990

    Anul

    Cheltuielile bugetului de stat (mld.lei)

    Grafic nr.2Evolutia cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in preturi curente si in preturi constante

    Sheet2

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    Grafic nr.6Structura cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in anul 1992

    Sheet3

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    Grafic nr.7Structura cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in anul 1996

    0

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    Grafic nr.8Structura cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in anul 2000

    0

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    Grafic nr.9Structura cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in anul 2002

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    Ritm ch.pub

    Ritm PIB

    Anul

    Modificarea relativa a cheltuielilor publice si a P.I.B.in Turcia in perioada 1996-2001

    00

    00

    00

    00

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    Ritm ch.pub

    Ritm PIB

    Modificarea relativa a cheltuielilor publice si a P.I.B. in Tailanda in perioada 1996-2001

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Ritm ch.pub

    Ritm PIB

    Modificarea reltaiva a cheltuielilor publice si a P.I.B. in Polonia in perioada 1996-2001

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Grad de realizare a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat

    Deficit bugetar (%)

    Coeficientul de elasticitate a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat in raport cu P.I.B.

    Grafic nr.10Evolutia comparativa a gradului de realizare a cheltuielilor bugetului de stat, a deficitului bugetar si a coeficientului de elasticitate a cheltuielilor in perioada 1999-2002

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    nvmnt primar

    nvmnt primar

    Cheltuieli publice pentru educaie (% P.I.B.)

    Cheltuieli publice destinate nvmntului superior (% total cheltuieli publice pentru educaie)

    nvmnt

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    %Cc Bulgaria

    %Cc Germania

    %Cc Polonia

    %Cc SUA

    %Cc Romania

    Anul

    Evolutia comparativa a ponderii cheltuielilor curente in total cheltuieli

    Anul19981999200020012002

    Indicatori

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat prevzute de legile bugetare (mld.lei)93384.40143755.30166832.10237832.10

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat executate (mld.lei)106886.70149167.80184012.20226823.60

    Eficacitate (%)114.46103.77110.3095.37

    P.I.B. (mld.lei)371193.80539356.90796533.701154126.001498600.00

    Dinamica PIB (%)45.3047.6844.8929.85

    Anul1991199219931994199519961997199819992000

    Indicator

    Cheltuieli publice pentru ordine public (% P.I.B.)2.702.703.604.604.404.403.304.203.705.40

    Numr total deinui60883.0069143.0083247.0095795.00101705.00104029.00111926.00106221.0087576.0075407.00

    Cazuri de furt i tlhrie la 10000 de locuitori123.00158.00175.00211.00227.00230.00234.00210.00164.00134.00

    Dinamica nr.detinuti (%)13.5720.4015.076.172.297.59-5.10-17.55-13.90

    Dinamica cazurilor de furt si talharie (%)28.4610.7620.577.581.321.74-10.26-21.90-18.29

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat prevzute de legile bugetare (mld.lei)

    Cheltuieli ale bugetului de stat executate (mld.lei)

    Evolutia CBS prognozate si realizate in perioada 1998-2002

    &A

    Page &P

    Numr total deinui

    Cazuri de furt i tlhrie la 10000 de locuitori

    Cheltuieli publice pentru ordine public (% P.I.B.)

    anulPIB (mld.lei)Deficit bugetar (%)invatamantsanatatepensii si alocatiiaparare nationalaordine publicaautoritati publicecercetare stiintificaindustrieagriculturatransporturi si telecomunicatiitransferuri de la bugetul de statdobanzi aferente datoriei publice

    19912203.9-1.982.762.129.778.323.515.4498.235.832.441.40

    19926029.2-4.4224.215364.3195.768.351.110.2326.7179.862.6169.606.50

    199320035.7-2.6648.4366.2171.5419.6249.2151.820.5719.6613.1198.8328.20180.60

    199449773.2-4.21652.11003.3391.81184.7765.4440.749.41240.21278621.8784.00636.40

    199572135.5-4.12302.11323.6516.11525.91116.6658.33171529.61785.4853.21622.20949.10

    1996108919.6-4.93709.92008.51258.72078.21611.7881.1440.92016.82667.81088.43041.801744.70

    1997252925.7-3.68010.44418.84197.14738.92803.21857.9762.51930.23664.61770.96862.109214.60

    1998371193.8-2.812268.13183.96815.76707.65205.12866.91049.72057.94539.83357.58396.9016611.50

    1999539356.9-2.515742.73517.59069.98347.27535.64108.51019.52795.54974.67212.85237.6033347.00

    2000796533.7-3.623250.73710.411242.11406013947.77683.11522.64213.69091.89769.72554.0043220.90

    20011154126-3.113586.46774.723636.61757920017.111050.12591.15892.610680.114106.83806.5046427.00

    20021498600-2.9216843.79429.227012.72375925331.113579.62982.18684.611729.118485.63264.7053020.00

    anulinvatamantsanatatepensii si alocatiiaparare nationalaordine publicaautoritati publicecercetare stiintificaindustrieagriculturatransporturi si telecomunicatiitransferuri de la bugetul de statdobanzi aferente datoriei publicedeficit

    19913.752.821.353.551.070.700.184.461.621.471.880.001.9

    19923.722.541.073.251.130.850.175.422.981.042.810.114.4

    19933.241.830.862.091.240.760.103.593.060.991.640.902.6

    19943.322.020.792.381.540.890.102.492.571.251.581.284.2

    19953.191.830.722.121.550.910.442.122.481.182.251.324.1

    19963.411.841.161.911.480.810.401.852.451.002.791.604.9

    19973.171.751.661.871.110.730.300.761.450.702.713.643.6

    19983.310.861.841.811.400.770.280.551.220.902.264.482.8

    19992.920.651.681.551.400.760.190.520.921.340.976.182.5

    20002.920.471.411.771.750.960.190.531.141.230.325.433.6

    20011.180.592.051.521.730.960.220.510.931.220.334.023.1

    20021.120.631.801.591.690.910.200.580.781.230.223.542.92

    corel deficit0.20261739740.2048811517-0.4542617147-0.0152428890.19562635590.41746084360.42368639640.08796306260.4992759923-0.36290747140.4314779499-0.247456523

    BulgariaTurciaRomaniaPoloniaGermania

    anulDeficitPIBCurs de schimbDeficitPIBCurs de schimbDeficitPIBCurs de schimbDeficitPIBCurs de schimbDeficitPIBCurs de schimb

    1996-332.817610.1779-12381477281405-4.91089203084.2-78263878272.6961-3.41.5048

    1997353.3174331.6819-244428836151865-3.62529267167.9-83044723503.2793-2.71.7341

    1998599.2224211.7604-438752225260724-2.83737988875.6-53825535603.47542.21.7597

    1999348.7237901.8364-1007677415418783-2.554573015332.8-47946151153.9671-1.60.9386

    2000154.9267532.1233-14263124982625219-3.680030821708.720896849824.3461-1.21.0854

    2001556.2296182.1847-349631784121225588-3.1115412629060.87223414.0939-2.71.1175

    20022.0771507226-2.9233055.44.081.0626

    BulgariaTurciaRomaniaPoloniaGermaniaS.U.A.

    anulDeficit (%)Curs de schimbDeficit (%)Curs de schimbDeficit (%)Curs de schimbDeficit (%)Curs de schimbDeficit (%)Curs de schimbDeficit (%)Curs de schimb

    1996-18.900.10-8.380.19-4.900.20-2.020.68-3.400.68-1.421.05

    19972.030.92-8.480.36-3.600.47-1.760.83-2.700.83-0.031.14

    19982.670.96-8.400.62-2.800.58-0.970.882.200.880.621.18

    19991.471.00-13.021.00-2.501.00-0.781.00-1.601.001.691.16

    20000.581.16-11.411.49-3.601.420.301.10-1.201.100.921.21

    20011.881.19-19.602.93-3.101.900.001.03-2.701.031.29

    2002

    Anul199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001

    Cheltuieli bugetare (% PIB)24.524.426.921.521.921.921.720.920.719.518.615

    Rata omajului (%)38.210.410.99.56.68.910.411.810.58.6

    Rata inflaiei (%)5.1170.2210.4256.1136.732.338.8154.859.145.845.734.5

    Deficit bugetar (%)0.41.94.42.64.24.14.93.62.82.53.63.1

    Anul1997199819992000

    Datoria extern (%)24.322.224.826.8

    Datoria public intern (%)67.312.79.3

    Costul datoriei publice interne (%)2.93.54.54

    Cheltuielile bugetare anuale (%)13.416.32220.4

    Deficit buget de stat (%)3.62.82.53.6

    Anul199619971998199920002001

    Bulgaria

    Rata dobanzii pe piata monetara (%)119.8866.432.482.933.023.74

    Randamentul bonurilor de tezaur (%)114.3178.356.025.434.214.57

    Deficit bugetar (%)-18.902.032.671.470.581.88

    Investitii (mil.leva)238.001914.002920.003600.004206.005259.00

    Investitii (1996=100)100.00804.20152.56123.29116.83125.04

    Polonia

    Rata dobanzii pe piata monetara (%)20.6022.4020.6013.6018.2016.20

    Randamentul bonurilor de tezaur (%)20.3021.6019.1013.1016.60

    Deficit bugetar (%)-2.02-1.76-0.97-0.780.300.00

    Investitii (mil.zloti)80390.00110853.00139205.00156690.00170430.00155563.00

    Investitii (1996=100)100.00137.89125.58112.56108.7791.28

    Romania

    Rata dobanzii pe piata monetara (%)35.1045.0037.9035.0035.0035.00

    Randamentul bonurilor de tezaur (%)51.1085.7064.0074.2051.9042.20

    Deficit bugetar (%)-4.90-3.60-2.80-2.50-3.60-3.10

    Investitii (mld.lei)24999.0053540.0067920.0096630.00151486.00219289.00

    Investitii (1996=100)100214.17126.86142.27156.77144.76

    Datoria extern (%)24.322.224.826.8

    Datoria public intern (%)67.312.79.3

    politici14.2857142857

    demografici14.2857142857

    economici14.2857142857

    sociali14.2857142857

    urbanizarea14.2857142857

    militari14.2857142857

    istorici14.2857142857

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    Grafic nr. 5.4 Romania